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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-23 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 498.82 (+2.5%) | 2.1 | 0.2% | 7m | 19.7d ago · 52× | 38% ±26 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 17% ±8 | 37% ±26 | 64% ±47 | 73% ±61 | 1.9d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 79 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 491.9698 (+1.1%) | 0.9 | 3.1% | 3h | 5.7d ago · 68× | 63% ±24 | 37% ±16 | 45% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 35 | 44% ±10 | 64% ±24 | 80% ±35 | 89% ±44 | 18h | 2.08% | 1.29% | 95 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 487.5661 (+0.2%) | 0.1 | 5.1% | 7h | 1.4d ago · 82× | 78% ±27 | 41% ±16 | 24% ±14 | 34% ±15 | 38 | 73% ±12 | 78% ±27 | 89% ±35 | 93% | 1h | 1.80% | 1.35% | 53 → 1 | |
| at post · 486.7878 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 476.6384–478.8672 (-1.6%) | 1.4 | 6.3% | 8h | 1.6d ago · 79× | 46% ±26 | 27% ±14 | 37% ±16 | 35% ±15 | 37 | 25% ±9 | 45% ±25 | 62% ±43 | 75% ±60 | 1.4d | 2.15% | 1.00% | 88 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 462.0912 (-5.1%) | 4.2 | 0.3% | 10m | 8.7d ago · 58× | 13% ±15 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 5% ±4 | 12% ±15 | 28% ±36 | 45% ±56 | > 7d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 112 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 446.4439 (-8.3%) | 6.9 | 7.1% | 15h | 6.7d ago · 45× | 8% ±16 | 41% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 4% ±4 | 8% ±15 | 20% ±39 | 30% ±63 | > 7d | 2.20% | 1.16% | 74 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 404.0442 (-17.0%) | 14 | 0.3% | 12m | 7.5d ago · 44× | 1% ±5 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±19 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 102 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 486.7878 | 476.6384 | 491.9698 | expired | +1.94% |