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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-23 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 495.858 (+2.1%) | 1.7 | 1.4% | 2h | 19.5d ago · 52× | 36% ±26 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 18% ±8 | 36% ±26 | 63% ±47 | 71% ±63 | 2.1d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 78 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 491.9698 (+1.3%) | 1.1 | 3.0% | 3h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 60% ±24 | 36% ±16 | 46% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 36 | 40% ±10 | 60% ±23 | 76% ±34 | 84% ±51 | 21h | 2.05% | 1.36% | 99 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 487.5661 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 5.5% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 82× | 76% ±26 | 41% ±16 | 24% ±14 | 34% ±15 | 38 | 70% ±12 | 77% ±26 | 90% ±34 | 93% | 1h | 1.80% | 1.35% | 58 → 1 | |
| at post · 485.762 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 477.617–478.8672 (-1.4%) | 1.2 | 6.2% | 8h | 1.4d ago · 79× | 53% ±24 | 27% ±14 | 37% ±16 | 35% ±15 | 37 | 33% ±9 | 52% ±24 | 66% ±41 | 78% ±57 | 1.3d | 2.15% | 1.00% | 95 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 466.8304 (-3.9%) | 3.3 | 1.1% | 1h | 8.5d ago · 58× | 15% ±19 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 6% ±5 | 15% ±19 | 38% ±43 | 54% ±69 | 5.0d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 83 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 446.4439 (-8.1%) | 6.8 | 7.0% | 15h | 6.5d ago · 45× | 8% ±15 | 41% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 4% ±4 | 8% ±14 | 21% ±40 | 32% ±64 | > 7d | 2.20% | 1.16% | 77 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 404.0442 (-16.8%) | 14 | 0.3% | 12m | 7.3d ago · 44× | 1% ±5 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±19 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 103 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.