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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-24 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 495.3106 (+3.8%) | 3.4 | 1.5% | 2h | 19.4d ago · 52× | 21% ±21 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 7% ±5 | 21% ±20 | 41% ±43 | 60% ±68 | 4.9d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 95 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 490.9912 (+2.9%) | 2.6 | 3.6% | 3h | 5.4d ago · 68× | 23% ±21 | 36% ±16 | 46% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 36 | 7% ±5 | 23% ±21 | 46% ±44 | 55% ±69 | 3.9d | 2.05% | 1.36% | 98 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 487.4145–487.5661 (+2.1%) | 1.9 | 5.7% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 82× | 35% ±33 | 35% ±15 | 21% ±13 | 44% ±16 | 38 | 17% ±11 | 35% ±33 | 59% ±56 | 75% | 3.8d | 1.62% | 1.74% | 46 → 1 | |
| 30D VAH | 478.8672 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 5.8% | 7h | 1.2d ago · 40× | 76% ±32 | 14% ±16 | 38% ±22 | 48% ±23 | 18 | 41% ±15 | 76% ±32 | 80% ±55 | 83% | 18h | 1.20% | 1.87% | 39 → 1 | |
| at post · 477.334 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 477.2908 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 5.4% | 8h | 12.2d ago · 79× | 81% ±26 | 30% ±15 | 33% ±15 | 38% ±16 | 37 | 54% ±13 | 81% ±26 | 86% ±39 | 86% | 3h | 2.45% | 1.00% | 55 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 470.7448 (-1.4%) | 1.2 | 1.7% | 2h | 8.4d ago · 58× | 48% ±31 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 28% ±11 | 48% ±31 | 62% ±55 | 66% | 1.0d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 62 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 446.4439 (-6.5%) | 5.8 | 6.4% | 14h | 6.4d ago · 45× | 13% ±19 | 41% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 4% ±4 | 12% ±19 | 28% ±44 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 2.20% | 1.16% | 73 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 404.0442 (-15.4%) | 14 | <0.1% | 0m | 7.2d ago · 44× | 1% ±5 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±15 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 105 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 477.334 | 446.4439 | 492.3353 | target | -1.48% |