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TSLA · 1h · posted 2025-12-24 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 495.3106 (+2.8%) | 2.6 | 1.4% | 2h | 19.5d ago · 52× | 30% ±25 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 12% ±7 | 29% ±24 | 57% ±43 | 70% ±63 | 2.9d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 81 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 490.665 (+1.8%) | 1.7 | 3.8% | 3h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 38% ±24 | 36% ±16 | 46% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 36 | 16% ±7 | 38% ±24 | 61% ±43 | 70% ±63 | 2.0d | 2.05% | 1.36% | 98 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 487.5661 (+1.2%) | 1.1 | 5.6% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 82× | 63% ±27 | 40% ±15 | 26% ±14 | 33% ±15 | 39 | 51% ±12 | 64% ±27 | 82% ±38 | 89% ±43 | 4h | 1.86% | 1.27% | 72 → 2 | |
| at post · 481.77 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 477.617–478.8672 (-0.6%) | 0.6 | 6.0% | 8h | 1.4d ago · 79× | 71% ±23 | 27% ±14 | 37% ±16 | 35% ±15 | 37 | 50% ±10 | 72% ±22 | 79% ±36 | 86% ±48 | 10h | 2.15% | 1.00% | 95 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 472.4995 (-1.9%) | 1.8 | 2.1% | 1h | 8.5d ago · 58× | 29% ±27 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 13% ±8 | 29% ±27 | 47% ±49 | 60% ±68 | 3.9d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 67 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 446.4439 (-7.3%) | 6.8 | 6.3% | 13h | 6.5d ago · 45× | 8% ±14 | 41% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 4% ±4 | 7% ±14 | 21% ±40 | 31% ±64 | > 7d | 2.20% | 1.16% | 80 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 404.0442 (-16.1%) | 15 | <0.1% | 0m | 7.3d ago · 44× | 1% ±5 | 42% ±24 | 32% ±23 | 26% ±22 | 16 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±8 | 1% ±14 | > 7d | 3.46% | 0.94% | 100 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 481.77 | 487.5661 | 475.2684 | stop | +0.55% |