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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-05 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 493.8318 (+9.3%) | 9.7 | 1.9% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 40× | 2% ±11 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 7% ±35 | 22% | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 44 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 481.3613 (+6.6%) | 6.8 | 5.5% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 33× | 3% ±15 | 26% ±22 | 32% ±23 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±13 | 6% ±33 | 22% | > 7d | 1.10% | 1.20% | 33 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 477.1818 (+5.6%) | 5.9 | 6.3% | 9h | 19.5d ago · 52× | 10% ±17 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±17 | 18% ±38 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 71 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 462.2854 (+2.3%) | 2.4 | 2.3% | 3h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 24% ±21 | 36% ±16 | 46% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 36 | 7% ±5 | 24% ±20 | 47% ±40 | 54% ±69 | 3.9d | 2.05% | 1.36% | 100 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 454.3567–455.0445 (+0.6%) | 0.6 | 5.1% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 82× | 63% ±26 | 34% ±14 | 25% ±13 | 41% ±15 | 41 | 53% ±11 | 63% ±26 | 73% ±43 | 80% ±55 | 11h | 1.88% | 1.57% | 78 → 2 | |
| at post · 451.69 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 448.9318–448.938 (-0.6%) | 0.6 | 4.5% | 5h | 7.3d ago · 79× | 67% ±23 | 30% ±14 | 37% ±15 | 33% ±14 | 41 | 44% ±10 | 67% ±23 | 74% ±38 | 79% ±56 | 19h | 2.63% | 0.84% | 93 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 437.8266 (-3.1%) | 3.2 | 2.4% | 5h | 8.5d ago · 58× | 17% ±20 | 28% ±17 | 31% ±18 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 7% ±5 | 17% ±19 | 41% ±43 | 59% ±68 | 4.9d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 87 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 451.69 | 448.9318 | 462.2854 | target | +4.25% |
| 14d | POC | short | 451.69 | 437.8266 | 477.1818 | target | +4.25% |