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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-06 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 493.8318 (+12.5%) | 11 | 2.1% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 2% ±11 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 7% ±35 | 20% | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 43 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 481.3613 (+9.6%) | 8.6 | 6.1% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 33× | 3% ±16 | 26% ±22 | 32% ±23 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 14% | > 7d | 1.10% | 1.20% | 30 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 470.4769 (+7.2%) | 6.4 | 2.1% | 2h | 19.6d ago · 52× | 4% ±12 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±11 | 13% ±33 | 39% ±68 | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 462.2854 (+5.3%) | 4.7 | 2.6% | 4h | 5.6d ago · 68× | 8% ±14 | 36% ±16 | 46% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 36 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±14 | 25% ±42 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.36% | 79 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 453.3241–454.3567 (+3.2%) | 2.9 | 5.4% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 82× | 23% ±29 | 34% ±14 | 25% ±13 | 41% ±15 | 41 | 6% ±7 | 23% ±29 | 51% ±57 | 70% | 4.4d | 1.88% | 1.57% | 47 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 448.938 (+2.3%) | 2.0 | 5.0% | 6h | 7.5d ago · 30× | 31% ±64 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 8% ±16 | 31% ±64 | 69% | 85% | 2.8d | — | — | 11 → 1 |
| 7D VAL | 445.037 (+1.4%) | 1.2 | 5.9% | 9h | 6.6d ago · 52× | 50% ±44 | 13% ±15 | 57% ±22 | 30% ±20 | 20 | 37% ±18 | 50% ±44 | 93% ±35 | 97% | 1.0d | 2.11% | 0.82% | 28 → 1 | |
| at post · 439.0591 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 431.2705 (-1.8%) | 1.6 | <0.1% | 0m | 8.6d ago · 58× | 35% ±28 | 28% ±17 | 31% ±18 | 41% ±19 | 26 | 21% ±10 | 35% ±28 | 51% ±49 | 60% ±68 | 2.2d | 2.37% | 1.62% | 66 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 439.0591 | 421.8107 | 454.3567 | expired | +1.14% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 439.0591 | 7.4823 | 481.3613 | expired | +1.14% |