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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-08 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 493.8318 (+13.3%) | 13 | 1.8% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 3% ±12 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 6% | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 41 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 481.3613 (+10.4%) | 11 | 5.2% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 33× | 4% ±18 | 26% ±22 | 32% ±23 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±24 | 8% | > 7d | 1.10% | 1.20% | 29 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 469.6725 (+7.8%) | 7.9 | 1.9% | 2h | 19.5d ago · 52× | 4% ±12 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±12 | 11% ±30 | 33% ±65 | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 68 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 454.4621 (+4.3%) | 4.3 | 4.8% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 15% ±25 | 26% ±18 | 19% ±16 | 56% ±20 | 24 | 2% ±4 | 15% ±23 | 34% ±54 | 54% | 6.9d | 1.32% | 2.20% | 53 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 448.938 (+3.0%) | 3.0 | 3.0% | 3h | 7.5d ago · 30× | 22% ±41 | building | building | building | building | 6 | 3% ±7 | 21% ±36 | 60% ±68 | 91% | 2.9d | — | — | 28 → 1 |
| 7D VAH | 446.1026 (+2.4%) | 2.4 | 3.9% | 8h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 24% ±20 | 36% ±16 | 46% ±16 | 18% ±13 | 36 | 7% ±5 | 24% ±20 | 45% ±40 | 53% ±69 | 3.9d | 2.05% | 1.36% | 104 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 436.0829 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.2% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 82× | 74% ±26 | 39% ±15 | 30% ±14 | 32% ±14 | 41 | 66% ±11 | 75% ±25 | 83% ±37 | 86% ±48 | 1h | 2.21% | 1.20% | 69 → 2 | |
| at post · 435.84 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 434.721 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 3.3% | 7h | 8.5d ago · 58× | 63% ±32 | 26% ±16 | 32% ±17 | 42% ±18 | 28 | 47% ±13 | 64% ±30 | 76% ±48 | 76% | 18h | 2.26% | 1.70% | 57 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 429.7994 (-1.4%) | 1.4 | 1.3% | 2h | 12.3d ago · 79× | 54% ±24 | 27% ±13 | 36% ±14 | 38% ±15 | 42 | 27% ±9 | 54% ±23 | 70% ±37 | 83% ±43 | 1.0d | 2.10% | 0.91% | 105 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 435.84 | 454.4621 | 428.4297 | expired | +2.10% |