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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-09 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 493.8318 (+11.3%) | 11 | 2.0% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 40× | 2% ±9 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 6% ±27 | 20% | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 481.3613 (+8.5%) | 7.9 | 5.7% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 33× | 2% ±11 | 26% ±22 | 32% ±23 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 5% ±29 | 20% | > 7d | 1.10% | 1.20% | 43 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 469.273 (+5.8%) | 5.4 | 2.0% | 2h | 19.4d ago · 52× | 11% ±16 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 3% ±4 | 10% ±16 | 20% ±35 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 454.3972 (+2.4%) | 2.3 | 5.2% | 11h | 1.2d ago · 54× | 22% ±31 | 26% ±18 | 19% ±16 | 56% ±20 | 24 | 7% ±7 | 22% ±31 | 44% ±69 | 61% | 4.2d | 1.32% | 2.20% | 43 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 448.938 (+1.2%) | 1.1 | 3.0% | 3h | 7.4d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 6 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 9 → 1 |
| at post · 443.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 443.2804 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.7% | 3h | 13.4d ago · 53× | 88% ±24 | 26% ±16 | 39% ±18 | 35% ±18 | 28 | 67% ±14 | 88% ±24 | 95% ±29 | 95% | 1h | 1.92% | 1.29% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 435.0306–436.1456 (-1.7%) | 1.6 | 3.7% | 8h | 6.4d ago · 78× | 45% ±28 | 29% ±14 | 31% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 43 | 25% ±10 | 45% ±28 | 61% ±48 | 76% ±59 | 2.0d | 2.33% | 1.71% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 430.0064 (-3.1%) | 2.9 | 1.8% | 2h | 12.2d ago · 79× | 26% ±20 | 27% ±13 | 36% ±14 | 38% ±15 | 42 | 10% ±6 | 26% ±20 | 50% ±40 | 69% ±52 | 3.0d | 2.10% | 0.91% | 115 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 443.62 | 456.894 | 436.1456 | expired | +0.31% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 443.62 | 454.3972 | 428.867 | expired | +0.31% |