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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-12 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 493.8318 (+9.8%) | 10 | 1.9% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 2% ±8 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 5% ±25 | 18% | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 57 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 481.3613 (+7.0%) | 7.5 | 5.6% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 33× | 2% ±10 | 26% ±22 | 32% ±23 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 4% ±23 | 18% | > 7d | 1.10% | 1.20% | 45 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 454.4045 (+1.0%) | 1.1 | 3.7% | 8h | 19.6d ago · 52× | 47% ±25 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 31% ±10 | 47% ±25 | 64% ±42 | 69% ±64 | 1.2d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 87 → 2 | |
| at post · 449.805 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 448.938 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 1.5% | 1h | 7.4d ago · 44× | 61% ±36 | 33% ±20 | 38% ±21 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 41% ±15 | 61% ±36 | 68% ±65 | 73% | 18h | 3.04% | 0.89% | 42 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH | 444.2759 (-1.2%) | 1.3 | 2.8% | 4h | 13.6d ago · 53× | 57% ±32 | 25% ±16 | 41% ±18 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 36% ±13 | 57% ±32 | 73% ±50 | 79% | 22h | 1.88% | 1.27% | 54 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 434.4864–435.7979 (-3.1%) | 3.3 | 3.6% | 7h | 1.5d ago · 78× | 23% ±23 | 26% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 9% ±7 | 23% ±23 | 40% ±48 | 53% ±69 | 4.0d | 2.23% | 1.45% | 76 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 429.0109–429.7452 (-4.5%) | 4.8 | 1.5% | 1h | 8.6d ago · 79× | 11% ±13 | 29% ±13 | 33% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 4% ±3 | 11% ±13 | 30% ±34 | 46% ±56 | 7.0d | 2.32% | 1.19% | 124 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 449.805 | 481.3613 | 440.8571 | expired | -0.61% |