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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-12 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 493.8318 (+8.8%) | 9.3 | 1.9% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 2% ±8 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 5% ±21 | 18% ±53 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 63 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 481.3613 (+6.1%) | 6.4 | 5.6% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 33× | 2% ±11 | 26% ±22 | 32% ±23 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 4% ±28 | 18% | > 7d | 1.10% | 1.20% | 44 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 458.7293 (+1.1%) | 1.1 | 1.4% | 2h | 19.5d ago · 52× | 45% ±25 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 30% ±10 | 46% ±25 | 64% ±42 | 68% ±64 | 1.2d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 90 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 454.2746 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.9% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 59% ±34 | 26% ±18 | 19% ±16 | 56% ±20 | 24 | 49% ±14 | 59% ±34 | 63% ±55 | 78% | 18h | 1.32% | 2.20% | 47 → 1 | |
| at post · 453.83 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 448.938 (-1.1%) | 1.1 | 1.9% | 2h | 7.3d ago · 44× | 54% ±29 | 33% ±20 | 38% ±21 | 29% ±19 | 21 | 31% ±11 | 54% ±29 | 63% ±47 | 68% ±65 | 1.0d | 3.04% | 0.89% | 66 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 444.3333 (-2.1%) | 2.2 | 2.9% | 4h | 13.5d ago · 53× | 25% ±38 | 25% ±16 | 41% ±18 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 12% ±12 | 25% ±38 | 44% ±69 | 53% | 4.0d | 1.88% | 1.27% | 31 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 434.3492–434.547 (-4.2%) | 4.5 | 3.8% | 7h | 6.5d ago · 78× | 14% ±15 | 30% ±14 | 31% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 43 | 5% ±4 | 14% ±15 | 33% ±35 | 47% ±57 | 6.9d | 2.36% | 1.66% | 119 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL | 428.9479 (-5.5%) | 5.8 | 1.0% | 44m | 12.3d ago · 79× | 6% ±12 | 30% ±14 | 34% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 4% ±4 | 6% ±12 | 24% ±37 | 33% ±65 | > 7d | 2.29% | 0.91% | 96 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | long | 453.83 | 481.3613 | 440.8571 | expired | -0.98% |