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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-12 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 493.8318 (+10.0%) | 11 | 1.8% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 2% ±8 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±8 | 5% ±25 | 17% | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 59 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 481.3613 (+7.2%) | 7.8 | 5.4% | 6h | 1.3d ago · 33× | 2% ±10 | 26% ±22 | 32% ±23 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 4% ±22 | 17% | > 7d | 1.10% | 1.20% | 48 → 1 | |
| 14D VAH | 456.9192 (+1.8%) | 1.9 | 2.7% | 3h | 19.5d ago · 52× | 34% ±25 | 40% ±18 | 30% ±17 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 18% ±8 | 34% ±25 | 59% ±43 | 68% ±65 | 2.8d | 2.11% | 1.06% | 83 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 454.4001 (+1.2%) | 1.3 | 3.8% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 36% ±30 | 26% ±18 | 19% ±16 | 56% ±20 | 24 | 24% ±11 | 36% ±30 | 51% ±57 | 69% | 3.0d | 1.32% | 2.20% | 57 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 448.938 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.4% | 3h | 7.5d ago · 30× | building | building | building | building | building | 7 | building | building | building | building | — | — | — | 7 → 1 |
| at post · 448.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 444.1221 (-1.1%) | 1.1 | 2.7% | 3h | 13.5d ago · 53× | 62% ±30 | 25% ±16 | 41% ±18 | 34% ±17 | 29 | 41% ±12 | 61% ±30 | 76% ±48 | 81% | 21h | 1.88% | 1.27% | 62 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 14D VAL | 435.2164–435.89 (-2.9%) | 3.1 | 3.5% | 7h | 6.5d ago · 78× | 23% ±21 | 30% ±14 | 31% ±14 | 40% ±15 | 43 | 10% ±6 | 23% ±21 | 43% ±43 | 59% ±68 | 4.5d | 2.36% | 1.66% | 94 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 428.8552 (-4.5%) | 4.8 | 0.9% | 40m | 12.3d ago · 79× | 9% ±13 | 30% ±14 | 34% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 3% ±3 | 9% ±13 | 28% ±36 | 43% ±56 | > 7d | 2.29% | 0.91% | 116 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | short | 448.88 | 436.4675 | 481.3613 | expired | +0.39% |