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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-14 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 493.8318 (+12.2%) | 12 | 1.9% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 40× | 2% ±9 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±9 | 4% ±22 | 6% | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 54 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 481.3613 (+9.4%) | 9.5 | 5.0% | 6h | 1.4d ago · 33× | 2% ±11 | 26% ±22 | 32% ±23 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±10 | 2% ±16 | 7% | > 7d | 1.10% | 1.20% | 45 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 448.313–449.8387 (+1.9%) | 1.9 | 3.4% | 5h | 5.6d ago · 68× | 33% ±21 | 38% ±16 | 40% ±16 | 22% ±13 | 37 | 14% ±6 | 33% ±21 | 57% ±40 | 65% ±54 | 2.9d | 2.05% | 1.16% | 111 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 443.9498 (+0.9%) | 0.9 | 3.2% | 4h | 7.6d ago · 30× | 71% ±63 | building | building | building | building | 7 | 53% ±25 | 73% ±50 | 94% | 94% | 3h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| at post · 440.05 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 435.89–436.0829 (-0.9%) | 0.9 | 3.6% | 7h | 1.5d ago · 78× | 69% ±21 | 26% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 50% ±9 | 69% ±21 | 77% ±34 | 92% ±31 | 11h | 2.23% | 1.45% | 107 → 3 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 431.158–431.8487 (-1.9%) | 1.9 | 3.0% | 4h | 8.6d ago · 79× | 35% ±23 | 29% ±13 | 33% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 16% ±7 | 35% ±23 | 53% ±44 | 71% ±63 | 2.8d | 2.32% | 1.19% | 98 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAL | short | 440.05 | 436.4675 | 481.3613 | target | -0.74% |