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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-14 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 493.8318 (+13.2%) | 13 | 2.0% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 40× | 2% ±9 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±9 | 4% ±21 | 6% | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 56 → 1 | |
| 30D POC | 481.3613 (+10.4%) | 9.9 | 4.9% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 33× | 2% ±11 | 26% ±22 | 32% ±23 | 42% ±24 | 16 | 2% ±4 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±20 | 7% | > 7d | 1.10% | 1.20% | 44 → 1 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 448.313–449.4991 (+2.8%) | 2.7 | 3.6% | 5h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 23% ±19 | 38% ±16 | 40% ±16 | 22% ±13 | 37 | 7% ±5 | 23% ±19 | 43% ±40 | 55% ±56 | 4.9d | 2.05% | 1.16% | 109 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 443.9498 (+1.8%) | 1.7 | 3.4% | 4h | 7.4d ago · 30× | 40% ±68 | building | building | building | building | 8 | 19% ±21 | 40% ±68 | 73% | 87% | 2.8d | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| at post · 436.12 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 435.89–436.0829 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 4.2% | 8h | 1.4d ago · 78× | 81% ±23 | 26% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 43 | 64% ±11 | 81% ±22 | 84% ±36 | 94% ±32 | 1h | 2.23% | 1.45% | 69 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 431.4976–432.1481 (-0.9%) | 0.9 | 3.3% | 5h | 8.5d ago · 79× | 65% ±22 | 29% ±13 | 33% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 41% ±9 | 65% ±22 | 75% ±35 | 81% ±44 | 20h | 2.32% | 1.19% | 110 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.