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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-14 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 483.8554 (+10.2%) | 11 | 4.0% | 5h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 2% ±8 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 5% ±21 | 15% ±49 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 63 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 448.4801–448.6123 (+2.1%) | 2.3 | 3.2% | 4h | 5.6d ago · 68× | 30% ±21 | 38% ±16 | 40% ±16 | 22% ±13 | 37 | 11% ±6 | 30% ±21 | 52% ±40 | 59% ±56 | 3.4d | 2.05% | 1.16% | 108 → 3 | |
| at post · 439.26 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 431.4976–436.4675 (-0.6%) | 0.7 | 4.5% | 10h | 1.5d ago · 79× | 56% ±24 | 29% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 44 | 36% ±9 | 56% ±24 | 68% ±37 | 82% ±53 | 1.2d | 2.31% | 1.31% | 104 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 428.9852 (-2.3%) | 2.6 | 1.0% | 42m | 7.4d ago · 44× | 29% ±26 | 31% ±19 | 38% ±20 | 31% ±19 | 23 | 11% ±7 | 29% ±26 | 53% ±49 | 67% ±65 | 2.9d | 2.82% | 0.89% | 70 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 439.26 | 448.4801 | 431.4976 | expired | -0.21% |
| 30d | POC | long | 439.26 | 483.8554 | 428.9852 | expired | -0.21% |