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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-16 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 478.8672 (+9.5%) | 12 | 2.9% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 40× | 2% ±8 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 3% ±17 | 9% ±39 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 65 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 447.4762–447.5944 (+2.3%) | 2.8 | 3.2% | 5h | 5.7d ago · 68× | 22% ±19 | 38% ±16 | 40% ±16 | 22% ±13 | 37 | 7% ±5 | 22% ±18 | 44% ±40 | 56% ±56 | 5.9d | 2.05% | 1.16% | 113 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 438.1437 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 5.7% | 8h | 1.4d ago · 82× | 74% ±25 | 37% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 35% ±14 | 43 | 62% ±11 | 74% ±24 | 84% ±36 | 88% ±45 | 1h | 1.86% | 1.27% | 75 → 2 | |
| at post · 437.47 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D VAL | 435.2335–436.4675 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 4.8% | 9h | 1.6d ago · 79× | 71% ±22 | 29% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 34% ±14 | 45 | 51% ±10 | 71% ±22 | 78% ±33 | 84% ±50 | 13h | 2.25% | 0.97% | 101 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 431.6657 (-1.3%) | 1.6 | 2.6% | 3h | 8.7d ago · 58× | 35% ±26 | 28% ±16 | 31% ±17 | 41% ±18 | 29 | 19% ±9 | 34% ±26 | 49% ±49 | 64% ±67 | 3.0d | 2.36% | 1.60% | 79 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 428.9852 (-1.9%) | 2.4 | 0.9% | 37m | 7.5d ago · 44× | 29% ±27 | 31% ±19 | 38% ±20 | 31% ±19 | 23 | 11% ±7 | 28% ±25 | 52% ±49 | 67% ±65 | 3.0d | 2.82% | 0.89% | 70 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 437.47 | 435.2335 | 447.4762 | open | — |