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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-20 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 463.9026 (+8.7%) | 9.3 | 1.7% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 1% ±6 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 4% ±19 | 14% ±48 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 77 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 444.9964–446.2712 (+4.2%) | 4.6 | 5.3% | 6h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 12% ±16 | 40% ±16 | 38% ±15 | 22% ±13 | 38 | 4% ±4 | 12% ±16 | 25% ±35 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 2.08% | 1.08% | 100 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 438.8926 (+2.8%) | 3.0 | 6.5% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 82× | 25% ±27 | 38% ±14 | 28% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 44 | 8% ±7 | 25% ±27 | 54% ±56 | 82% | 3.0d | 2.03% | 1.23% | 57 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC · 30D POC | 435.0599–436.4675 (+1.9%) | 2.1 | 5.7% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 22% ±29 | 24% ±17 | 35% ±19 | 42% ±19 | 25 | 9% ±8 | 22% ±29 | 55% ±56 | 70% | 3.9d | 1.54% | 1.43% | 47 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 431.4488 (+1.1%) | 1.1 | 3.3% | 4h | 5.5d ago · 41× | 59% ±43 | 14% ±16 | 48% ±23 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 41% ±17 | 59% ±43 | 82% ±53 | 85% | 20h | 1.56% | 1.73% | 32 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 428.9852 (+0.5%) | 0.5 | 1.5% | 57m | 7.5d ago · 30× | 75% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 56% ±26 | 75% ±60 | 88% | 88% | 1h | — | — | 14 → 1 |
| at post · 426.94 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 426.94 | 417.0035 | 438.8926 | expired | -0.12% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 426.94 | 412.1176 | 435.9264 | expired | -0.12% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 426.94 | 7.4823 | 436.4675 | expired | -0.12% |