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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-20 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 463.9026 (+8.8%) | 9.3 | 1.7% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 40× | 1% ±6 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 4% ±19 | 14% ±48 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 78 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 447.1976 (+4.9%) | 5.2 | 4.3% | 6h | 19.4d ago · 52× | 11% ±16 | 44% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 3% ±3 | 11% ±16 | 20% ±35 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | 2.11% | 0.90% | 96 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 444.7068 (+4.3%) | 4.5 | 5.4% | 6h | 5.4d ago · 68× | 13% ±16 | 37% ±15 | 46% ±16 | 17% ±12 | 38 | 4% ±4 | 13% ±16 | 30% ±37 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.21% | 99 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 434.9832–438.2682 (+2.0%) | 2.1 | 5.7% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 82× | 23% ±26 | 30% ±13 | 32% ±14 | 39% ±14 | 44 | 9% ±7 | 23% ±26 | 55% ±56 | 74% | 3.6d | 1.74% | 1.35% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 431.7576 (+1.3%) | 1.4 | 3.7% | 4h | 5.4d ago · 41× | 56% ±49 | 14% ±16 | 48% ±23 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 32% ±18 | 55% ±49 | 81% | 89% | 1.0d | 1.56% | 1.73% | 26 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 428.9852 (+0.6%) | 0.7 | 1.7% | 59m | 7.4d ago · 30× | 75% ±60 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 54% ±25 | 74% ±50 | 87% | 87% | 3h | — | — | 15 → 1 |
| at post · 426.26 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.