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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-20 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 463.9026 (+10.7%) | 12 | 1.5% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 40× | 1% ±7 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 3% ±17 | 8% ±38 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 67 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 449.1396 (+7.1%) | 8.0 | 3.7% | 5h | 19.5d ago · 52× | 4% ±11 | 44% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 1% ±3 | 4% ±11 | 8% ±27 | 25% ±60 | > 7d | 2.11% | 0.90% | 71 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 445.4614 (+6.3%) | 7.0 | 4.7% | 6h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 4% ±12 | 37% ±15 | 46% ±16 | 17% ±12 | 38 | 4% ±5 | 4% ±12 | 17% ±42 | 36% | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.21% | 53 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 433.6584–438.158 (+3.4%) | 3.8 | 4.3% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 82× | 14% ±23 | 27% ±13 | 34% ±14 | 39% ±14 | 44 | 4% ±5 | 14% ±22 | 33% ±53 | 60% | 5.0d | 1.72% | 1.40% | 57 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 423.997 (+1.1%) | 1.3 | 1.0% | 2h | 7.4d ago · 30× | 56% ±56 | building | building | building | building | 9 | 25% ±20 | 54% ±56 | 72% | 83% | 1.0d | — | — | 18 → 1 |
| at post · 419.25 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.