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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-21 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 461.6613 (+9.0%) | 9.2 | 2.4% | 3h | 1.4d ago · 40× | 1% ±6 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 4% ±17 | 14% ±49 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 82 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 450.614 (+6.4%) | 6.5 | 3.8% | 6h | 19.7d ago · 52× | 4% ±10 | 44% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±10 | 11% ±27 | 32% ±65 | > 7d | 2.11% | 0.90% | 86 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 447.25 (+5.6%) | 5.7 | 4.8% | 6h | 5.7d ago · 68× | 4% ±11 | 37% ±15 | 46% ±16 | 17% ±12 | 38 | 3% ±4 | 4% ±11 | 20% ±39 | 37% ±67 | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.21% | 76 → 2 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 439.3229–439.3504 (+3.7%) | 3.8 | 6.1% | 9h | 1.4d ago · 82× | 15% ±23 | 35% ±14 | 29% ±13 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 4% ±5 | 14% ±22 | 41% ±56 | 66% | 3.0d | 1.78% | 1.22% | 59 → 1 | |
| 14D POC | 436.0543 (+2.9%) | 3.0 | 6.4% | 11h | 1.4d ago · 54× | 18% ±24 | 29% ±18 | 18% ±15 | 54% ±20 | 25 | 5% ±5 | 18% ±24 | 38% ±55 | 63% | 5.8d | 1.33% | 2.12% | 62 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 433.6584 (+2.4%) | 2.4 | 4.7% | 6h | 5.7d ago · 41× | 37% ±55 | 14% ±16 | 48% ±23 | 38% ±22 | 18 | 10% ±13 | 35% ±54 | 62% | 84% | 2.8d | 1.56% | 1.73% | 19 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 426.383–426.9126 (+0.6%) | 0.7 | 1.9% | 3h | 6.7d ago · 52× | 72% ±36 | 16% ±15 | 56% ±21 | 28% ±19 | 22 | 53% ±16 | 74% ±32 | 94% ±34 | 95% | 7h | 2.11% | 0.82% | 39 → 1 | |
| at post · 423.6588 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 423.6588 | 402.7918 | 439.3504 | expired | -3.64% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 423.6588 | 7.4462 | 439.3229 | expired | -3.64% |