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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-21 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 462.4236 (+7.2%) | 7.0 | 2.2% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 40× | 3% ±10 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±10 | 11% ±27 | 28% ±62 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 451.7198 (+4.7%) | 4.6 | 4.3% | 5h | 19.5d ago · 52× | 12% ±16 | 44% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 3% ±3 | 12% ±16 | 20% ±35 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | 2.11% | 0.90% | 95 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 445.4614 (+3.2%) | 3.2 | 5.2% | 7h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 19% ±17 | 37% ±15 | 46% ±16 | 17% ±12 | 38 | 5% ±4 | 19% ±17 | 39% ±36 | 48% ±57 | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.21% | 120 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 438.2659–439.6485 (+1.6%) | 1.5 | 7.4% | 11h | 1.2d ago · 82× | 35% ±30 | 35% ±14 | 24% ±13 | 41% ±15 | 44 | 19% ±10 | 36% ±28 | 60% ±48 | 76% ±59 | 2.5d | 1.78% | 1.55% | 63 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D POC | 433.6584–435.3669 (+0.5%) | 0.5 | 5.9% | 7h | 1.2d ago · 41× | 52% ±37 | 20% ±18 | 40% ±23 | 40% ±23 | 18 | 45% ±15 | 52% ±37 | 68% ±65 | 78% | 1.7d | 1.34% | 1.48% | 43 → 1 | |
| at post · 431.46 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 425.7868–427.9878 (-0.8%) | 0.8 | 2.3% | 2h | 7.3d ago · 79× | 59% ±22 | 30% ±13 | 36% ±14 | 34% ±14 | 45 | 33% ±9 | 59% ±22 | 69% ±37 | 80% ±46 | 22h | 2.43% | 0.86% | 115 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.