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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-22 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 460.6753 (+5.7%) | 5.5 | 2.3% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 8% ±15 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 3% ±4 | 8% ±15 | 18% ±38 | 41% ±68 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 75 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 450.9826 (+3.5%) | 3.4 | 4.6% | 6h | 19.6d ago · 52× | 18% ±18 | 44% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 6% ±5 | 18% ±18 | 35% ±38 | 52% ±57 | 7.0d | 2.11% | 0.90% | 107 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 445.4614 (+2.2%) | 2.2 | 5.6% | 7h | 5.6d ago · 68× | 26% ±20 | 37% ±15 | 46% ±16 | 17% ±12 | 38 | 7% ±5 | 26% ±20 | 50% ±40 | 55% ±56 | 3.0d | 2.05% | 1.21% | 110 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 438.2659–439.0523 (+0.6%) | 0.6 | 7.7% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 82× | 59% ±25 | 33% ±14 | 26% ±13 | 41% ±15 | 44 | 50% ±10 | 59% ±25 | 69% ±40 | 80% ±56 | 22h | 1.65% | 1.49% | 88 → 2 | |
| at post · 435.68 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 433.6584 (-0.5%) | 0.4 | 6.5% | 8h | 8.6d ago · 58× | 63% ±29 | 28% ±16 | 31% ±17 | 41% ±18 | 29 | 43% ±12 | 63% ±29 | 73% ±43 | 76% ±59 | 18h | 2.36% | 1.60% | 65 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 425.7868–426.3697 (-2.1%) | 2.1 | 2.6% | 3h | 7.4d ago · 79× | 31% ±21 | 30% ±13 | 36% ±14 | 34% ±14 | 45 | 12% ±6 | 31% ±21 | 51% ±40 | 71% ±51 | 3.2d | 2.43% | 0.86% | 114 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 435.68 | 438.2659 | 430.54 | target | +2.39% |