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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-22 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 460.6753 (+4.9%) | 4.7 | 2.4% | 3h | 1.3d ago · 40× | 10% ±16 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±16 | 24% ±42 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 78 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 450.9826 (+2.7%) | 2.6 | 4.7% | 6h | 19.6d ago · 52× | 26% ±22 | 44% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 11% ±6 | 26% ±22 | 49% ±44 | 60% ±68 | 3.9d | 2.11% | 0.90% | 91 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 443.9709 (+1.1%) | 1.1 | 5.5% | 7h | 5.6d ago · 68× | 52% ±22 | 37% ±15 | 46% ±16 | 17% ±12 | 38 | 34% ±9 | 52% ±22 | 67% ±35 | 73% ±50 | 1.0d | 2.05% | 1.21% | 118 → 3 | |
| at post · 439.07 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 438.2659–439.0523 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 7.7% | 11h | 1.5d ago · 78× | 75% ±24 | 30% ±13 | 36% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 44 | 60% ±12 | 75% ±24 | 79% ±40 | 90% ±42 | 2h | 2.18% | 1.22% | 69 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 434.027 (-1.1%) | 1.1 | 7.3% | 9h | 8.6d ago · 58× | 51% ±27 | 28% ±16 | 31% ±17 | 41% ±18 | 29 | 34% ±10 | 52% ±26 | 63% ±42 | 75% ±60 | 1.0d | 2.36% | 1.60% | 81 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 425.7868–426.3697 (-2.9%) | 2.8 | 2.6% | 3h | 7.4d ago · 79× | 26% ±19 | 31% ±13 | 36% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 45 | 10% ±5 | 26% ±19 | 48% ±37 | 69% ±52 | 3.6d | 2.44% | 0.88% | 123 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 439.07 | 443.9709 | 425.7868 | target | +2.24% |
| 14d | POC | long | 439.07 | 450.9826 | 434.027 | target | +2.24% |
| 30d | POC | long | 439.07 | 460.6753 | 426.3697 | expired | +2.24% |