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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-22 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 455.7745 (+1.4%) | 1.4 | 4.5% | 7h | 1.4d ago · 40× | 37% ±27 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 13% ±8 | 37% ±27 | 48% ±49 | 58% ±68 | 3.9d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 69 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 450.9826 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 4.8% | 6h | 19.7d ago · 52× | 56% ±28 | 44% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 42% ±12 | 56% ±28 | 63% ±47 | 66% ±66 | 18h | 2.11% | 0.90% | 69 → 2 | |
| at post · 449.37 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH | 449.1398 (-0.1%) | 0.0 | 5.3% | 7h | 13.7d ago · 53× | 88% ±23 | 24% ±15 | 42% ±18 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 69% ±13 | 88% ±23 | 96% ±23 | 96% | 1h | 1.78% | 1.29% | 46 → 1 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 438.2659–439.0535 (-2.3%) | 2.2 | 8.0% | 12h | 1.6d ago · 78× | 38% ±27 | 30% ±13 | 36% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 44 | 16% ±8 | 38% ±27 | 63% ±47 | 83% ±52 | 1.7d | 2.18% | 1.22% | 74 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 434.7642 (-3.3%) | 3.1 | 8.0% | 11h | 8.7d ago · 58× | 17% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 31% ±17 | 41% ±18 | 29 | 6% ±5 | 17% ±18 | 39% ±39 | 65% ±66 | 4.9d | 2.36% | 1.60% | 102 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 426.3697–426.4056 (-5.1%) | 4.9 | 2.6% | 3h | 7.5d ago · 79× | 9% ±13 | 31% ±13 | 36% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 45 | 4% ±4 | 9% ±13 | 29% ±36 | 46% ±56 | > 7d | 2.44% | 0.88% | 116 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 449.37 | 472.1042 | 439.0535 | expired | -0.07% |