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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-23 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 459.7446 (+3.1%) | 2.8 | 2.5% | 3h | 1.2d ago · 40× | 19% ±22 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 4% ±5 | 19% ±22 | 36% ±47 | 53% ±69 | 6.0d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 72 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 451.3512 (+1.2%) | 1.1 | 4.4% | 6h | 19.4d ago · 52× | 48% ±24 | 44% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 32% ±9 | 49% ±24 | 63% ±39 | 67% ±65 | 1.1d | 2.11% | 0.90% | 99 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 446.7437 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 7.5% | 10h | 1.2d ago · 54× | 60% ±34 | 28% ±17 | 17% ±15 | 55% ±19 | 26 | 51% ±14 | 61% ±34 | 65% ±54 | 78% | 4h | 1.33% | 2.20% | 49 → 1 | |
| at post · 446.11 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAH · 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D VAL | 435.5014–441.072 (-1.1%) | 1.0 | 6.5% | 8h | 6.4d ago · 78× | 46% ±27 | 30% ±14 | 33% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 44 | 26% ±10 | 46% ±27 | 63% ±47 | 81% ±54 | 2.0d | 2.16% | 1.46% | 80 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 430.3992 (-3.5%) | 3.2 | 3.7% | 4h | 7.2d ago · 44× | 17% ±20 | 33% ±19 | 37% ±19 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 5% ±5 | 17% ±19 | 43% ±43 | 66% ±66 | 4.0d | 2.85% | 0.94% | 83 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 421.4912 (-5.5%) | 5.0 | 1.3% | 1h | 12.2d ago · 79× | 8% ±13 | 29% ±13 | 35% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 45 | 3% ±3 | 8% ±12 | 28% ±33 | 42% ±56 | > 7d | 2.23% | 0.85% | 118 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 446.11 | 435.5014 | 451.3512 | stop | -0.66% |