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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-23 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 459.7446 (+2.4%) | 2.1 | 2.6% | 3h | 1.6d ago · 40× | 21% ±24 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 6% ±6 | 21% ±24 | 39% ±48 | 53% ±69 | 5.1d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 66 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 451.7198 (+0.6%) | 0.5 | 4.9% | 6h | 19.8d ago · 52× | 55% ±28 | 44% ±18 | 28% ±16 | 28% ±16 | 29 | 42% ±11 | 56% ±27 | 67% ±46 | 69% ±64 | 18h | 2.11% | 0.90% | 76 → 2 | |
| at post · 448.9099 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 446.7437 (-0.5%) | 0.4 | 8.3% | 10h | 1.8d ago · 59× | 76% ±24 | 21% ±13 | 45% ±16 | 33% ±15 | 39 | 63% ±11 | 77% ±24 | 81% ±39 | 92% ±38 | 1h | 2.07% | 0.76% | 71 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 440.5334 (-1.9%) | 1.6 | 7.4% | 9h | 13.8d ago · 53× | 47% ±35 | 24% ±15 | 42% ±18 | 33% ±17 | 30 | 23% ±12 | 47% ±35 | 65% ±54 | 70% | 1.1d | 1.78% | 1.29% | 50 → 1 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAL | 435.87–437.7355 (-2.5%) | 2.2 | 9.8% | 14h | 6.8d ago · 58× | 26% ±22 | 34% ±17 | 31% ±16 | 36% ±17 | 30 | 11% ±6 | 26% ±21 | 50% ±44 | 74% ±61 | 3.2d | 2.29% | 1.35% | 93 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 430.3992 (-4.1%) | 3.6 | 3.9% | 4h | 7.6d ago · 44× | 13% ±17 | 33% ±19 | 37% ±19 | 30% ±18 | 24 | 4% ±4 | 13% ±16 | 37% ±42 | 59% ±68 | 4.9d | 2.85% | 0.94% | 95 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 424.2631 (-5.5%) | 4.8 | 2.6% | 4h | 6.8d ago · 78× | 18% ±25 | 32% ±14 | 30% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 44 | 5% ±6 | 18% ±25 | 36% ±54 | 41% | > 7d | 2.27% | 1.67% | 54 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 417.44 (-7.0%) | 6.1 | 0.4% | 37m | 12.6d ago · 79× | 5% ±11 | 29% ±13 | 35% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 45 | 4% ±4 | 5% ±11 | 21% ±35 | 33% ±65 | > 7d | 2.23% | 0.85% | 97 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 448.9099 | 446.7437 | 454.5728 | target | -0.04% |