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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-29 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,773 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.34 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 450.7864 (+6.8%) | 6.9 | 5.0% | 7h | 5.1d ago · 39× | 3% ±9 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 10% ±26 | 25% ±60 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 95 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 446.5077–448.2312 (+5.7%) | 5.8 | 7.3% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 68× | 5% ±11 | 39% ±15 | 39% ±15 | 23% ±13 | 39 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±11 | 21% ±36 | 40% ±68 | > 7d | 2.05% | 1.10% | 97 → 2 | |
| 14D POC | 438.9588 (+4.0%) | 4.0 | 9.2% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 17% ±23 | 26% ±16 | 23% ±15 | 52% ±19 | 28 | 3% ±4 | 20% ±24 | 39% ±48 | 65% ±66 | 4.0d | 1.33% | 2.10% | 64 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 434.819–435.9404 (+3.0%) | 3.0 | 10.4% | 17h | 7.1d ago · 81× | 23% ±25 | 34% ±14 | 29% ±13 | 38% ±14 | 45 | 7% ±6 | 23% ±25 | 52% ±49 | 77% ±59 | 3.0d | 1.71% | 1.25% | 68 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 432.0576–439.8232 (+2.3%) | 2.4 | 7.0% | 10h | 5.3d ago · 61× | 28% ±36 | 17% ±17 | 35% ±21 | 48% ±22 | 20 | 10% ±9 | 26% ±33 | 37% ±67 | 58% | 6.9d | 1.61% | 1.05% | 40 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 430.3863–431.6008 (+1.9%) | 2.0 | 3.3% | 4h | 5.3d ago · 52× | 35% ±47 | 16% ±15 | 51% ±20 | 33% ±19 | 23 | 12% ±12 | 35% ±47 | 81% | 95% | 2.2d | 1.66% | 1.33% | 26 → 1 | |
| at post · 422.24 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 422.24 | 406.3433 | 434.819 | stop | -2.68% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 422.24 | 404.3951 | 438.9588 | expired | -2.68% |