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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-01-29 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 450.365 (+6.2%) | 5.7 | 5.9% | 8h | 1.2d ago · 40× | 7% ±13 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±13 | 16% ±32 | 37% ±67 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 91 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 447.8928 (+5.6%) | 5.2 | 8.0% | 12h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 6% ±12 | 36% ±15 | 45% ±16 | 19% ±12 | 39 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±12 | 28% ±39 | 46% ±69 | > 7d | 2.01% | 1.29% | 97 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 443.7337 (+4.6%) | 4.3 | 6.3% | 7h | 19.5d ago · 52× | 14% ±16 | 42% ±18 | 30% ±16 | 27% ±16 | 30 | 4% ±4 | 14% ±16 | 28% ±36 | 50% ±57 | > 7d | 2.10% | 0.84% | 112 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 437.7351–439.0074 (+3.2%) | 3.0 | 10.9% | 16h | 1.2d ago · 54× | 19% ±23 | 28% ±16 | 26% ±16 | 46% ±18 | 29 | 6% ±6 | 20% ±22 | 45% ±49 | 67% ±65 | 3.7d | 1.36% | 1.69% | 69 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 434.4702 (+2.4%) | 2.2 | 10.9% | 18h | 1.2d ago · 82× | 30% ±28 | 38% ±14 | 27% ±13 | 35% ±14 | 45 | 9% ±7 | 30% ±28 | 64% ±54 | 85% | 2.9d | 1.86% | 1.27% | 62 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 431.7776–439.8798 (+1.8%) | 1.7 | 6.9% | 10h | 5.5d ago · 61× | 50% ±40 | 21% ±17 | 33% ±20 | 46% ±21 | 21 | 17% ±12 | 50% ±37 | 64% ±67 | 72% | 1.1d | 1.64% | 1.27% | 39 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 430.5002–431.301 (+1.5%) | 1.4 | 3.8% | 5h | 6.5d ago · 52× | 51% ±40 | 20% ±16 | 52% ±20 | 28% ±18 | 24 | 27% ±15 | 50% ±40 | 87% ±46 | 95% | 1.1d | 1.89% | 1.22% | 35 → 1 | |
| at post · 424.208 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 422.9382 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 2.2% | 3h | 8.5d ago · 58× | 66% ±28 | 28% ±15 | 33% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 49% ±12 | 66% ±27 | 76% ±42 | 80% ±55 | 6h | 2.16% | 1.43% | 69 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 424.208 | 439.0074 | 419.195 | stop | +3.36% |