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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-02-02 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 448.9399 (+6.9%) | 4.5 | 9.1% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 40× | 9% ±14 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±14 | 22% ±36 | 44% ±69 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 94 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 439.9131–440.27 (+4.7%) | 3.1 | 10.4% | 14h | 5.5d ago · 68× | 20% ±17 | 39% ±15 | 39% ±15 | 22% ±13 | 40 | 6% ±4 | 20% ±17 | 38% ±36 | 52% ±57 | 6.9d | 2.08% | 1.02% | 131 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 434.4132–434.9487 (+3.4%) | 2.2 | 18.4% | 1.2d | 1.2d ago · 82× | 29% ±27 | 33% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 39% ±14 | 47 | 8% ±7 | 29% ±27 | 58% ±48 | 74% ±61 | 2.8d | 1.59% | 1.47% | 64 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 431.2895–439.8994 (+2.7%) | 1.7 | 10.0% | 13h | 5.5d ago · 61× | 49% ±37 | 23% ±17 | 35% ±19 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 16% ±11 | 49% ±37 | 60% ±68 | 67% | 1.1d | 1.64% | 1.72% | 43 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 427.9004–429.998 (+1.8%) | 1.2 | 4.2% | 4h | 6.5d ago · 52× | 58% ±37 | 21% ±16 | 49% ±20 | 30% ±18 | 25 | 31% ±14 | 58% ±37 | 91% ±40 | 95% | 22h | 1.72% | 1.51% | 42 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 421.8185–422.249 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 4.2% | 5h | 15.3d ago · 46× | 82% ±38 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 57% ±19 | 82% ±38 | 89% | 96% | 1h | 1.89% | 1.73% | 26 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 420.5688 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.0% | 5h | 5.5d ago · 41× | 75% ±35 | 20% ±17 | 40% ±20 | 40% ±20 | 22 | 50% ±17 | 75% ±35 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 4h | 1.56% | 1.90% | 34 → 1 | |
| at post · 420.13 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 420.13 | 407.7604 | 434.4717 | expired | -0.65% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 420.13 | 400.7857 | 434.4132 | expired | -0.65% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 420.13 | 401.1881 | 434.9487 | expired | -0.65% |