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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-02-02 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 449.3704 (+6.2%) | 4.0 | 8.6% | 12h | 1.4d ago · 40× | 11% ±15 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 11% ±15 | 24% ±34 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 101 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 439.9131–439.9726 (+3.9%) | 2.5 | 10.4% | 14h | 5.7d ago · 68× | 25% ±19 | 39% ±15 | 39% ±15 | 22% ±13 | 40 | 9% ±5 | 25% ±18 | 46% ±37 | 57% ±56 | 4.0d | 2.08% | 1.02% | 123 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 434.4132–434.9487 (+2.6%) | 1.7 | 18.5% | 1.2d | 1.4d ago · 82× | 38% ±29 | 33% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 39% ±14 | 47 | 16% ±9 | 38% ±29 | 61% ±48 | 77% ±58 | 2.5d | 1.59% | 1.47% | 68 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 431.2895–439.8994 (+1.9%) | 1.2 | 10.1% | 14h | 5.7d ago · 61× | 63% ±36 | 23% ±17 | 35% ±19 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 28% ±13 | 63% ±33 | 74% ±50 | 77% | 22h | 1.64% | 1.72% | 45 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 429.998 (+1.6%) | 1.0 | 5.9% | 7h | 7.6d ago · 30× | 77% ±41 | 27% ±25 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 37% ±19 | 77% ±41 | 91% | 91% | 22h | 1.36% | 1.97% | 25 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 427.8455–429.137 (+1.1%) | 0.7 | 4.2% | 4h | 15.5d ago · 46× | 78% ±33 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 51% ±17 | 78% ±33 | 92% ±38 | 97% | 3h | 1.89% | 1.73% | 35 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 424.0201 (+0.2%) | 0.1 | 5.1% | 7h | 6.7d ago · 52× | 77% ±34 | 18% ±15 | 50% ±20 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 63% ±16 | 77% ±34 | 94% ±32 | 97% | 1h | 1.89% | 1.29% | 33 → 1 | |
| at post · 423.3263 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 420.1895 (-0.7%) | 0.5 | 4.8% | 6h | 8.7d ago · 58× | 65% ±26 | 27% ±15 | 32% ±16 | 41% ±17 | 34 | 47% ±11 | 65% ±26 | 73% ±43 | 78% ±57 | 18h | 2.26% | 1.51% | 77 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 423.3263 | 434.4132 | 416.6393 | expired | -0.59% |