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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-02-02 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,773 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.34 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 449.8009 (+6.6%) | 4.4 | 7.5% | 11h | 5.2d ago · 39× | 9% ±14 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±14 | 22% ±36 | 43% ±69 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 97 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 439.9131–439.9726 (+4.3%) | 2.8 | 9.9% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 68× | 21% ±17 | 39% ±15 | 39% ±15 | 22% ±13 | 40 | 7% ±4 | 21% ±17 | 40% ±36 | 54% ±56 | 6.0d | 2.08% | 1.02% | 126 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 433.9261–434.9487 (+2.9%) | 1.9 | 17.2% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 81× | 32% ±29 | 33% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 39% ±14 | 47 | 11% ±8 | 32% ±29 | 59% ±56 | 75% | 2.7d | 1.59% | 1.47% | 62 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 431.2895–439.8994 (+2.3%) | 1.5 | 9.6% | 13h | 5.4d ago · 61× | 56% ±37 | 23% ±17 | 35% ±19 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 19% ±11 | 55% ±34 | 66% ±53 | 72% | 1.0d | 1.64% | 1.72% | 45 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 429.998 (+1.9%) | 1.3 | 5.6% | 7h | 7.4d ago · 30× | 65% ±47 | 27% ±25 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 20% ±16 | 65% ±47 | 78% | 87% | 1.0d | 1.36% | 1.97% | 23 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 427.8455–429.137 (+1.4%) | 1.0 | 4.3% | 5h | 15.2d ago · 46× | 76% ±32 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 49% ±15 | 77% ±31 | 88% ±44 | 98% | 18h | 1.89% | 1.73% | 41 → 1 | |
| 7D VAL | 423.2482 (+0.3%) | 0.2 | 5.7% | 9h | 6.4d ago · 52× | 76% ±34 | 18% ±15 | 50% ±20 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 63% ±15 | 78% ±33 | 95% ±30 | 98% | 1h | 1.89% | 1.29% | 38 → 1 | |
| at post · 421.785 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 420.5688 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 4.7% | 6h | 8.4d ago · 58× | 68% ±28 | 27% ±15 | 32% ±16 | 41% ±17 | 34 | 51% ±12 | 69% ±27 | 79% ±40 | 81% ±54 | 4h | 2.26% | 1.51% | 68 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 421.785 | 405.0606 | 433.9261 | expired | -0.01% |