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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-02-03 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,773 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.34 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 450.2314 (+6.5%) | 4.2 | 6.9% | 10h | 5.2d ago · 39× | 9% ±14 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±14 | 22% ±36 | 42% ±68 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 98 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 439.9726–440.2924 (+4.0%) | 2.6 | 9.8% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 68× | 23% ±18 | 39% ±15 | 39% ±15 | 22% ±13 | 40 | 8% ±5 | 22% ±18 | 42% ±37 | 55% ±56 | 6.1d | 2.08% | 1.02% | 128 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 433.9261–434.9487 (+2.6%) | 1.7 | 17.3% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 81× | 37% ±28 | 33% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 39% ±14 | 47 | 15% ±8 | 35% ±27 | 60% ±48 | 76% ±59 | 2.5d | 1.59% | 1.47% | 69 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 431.2895–439.8994 (+2.0%) | 1.3 | 9.7% | 13h | 5.4d ago · 61× | 61% ±36 | 23% ±17 | 35% ±19 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 27% ±13 | 58% ±34 | 70% ±52 | 73% | 1.0d | 1.64% | 1.72% | 47 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 429.998 (+1.7%) | 1.1 | 5.6% | 7h | 7.4d ago · 30× | 73% ±43 | 27% ±25 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 31% ±17 | 69% ±41 | 83% ±53 | 87% | 22h | 1.36% | 1.97% | 27 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 427.8455–429.137 (+1.2%) | 0.8 | 4.3% | 5h | 15.3d ago · 46× | 76% ±34 | 16% ±18 | 37% ±24 | 47% ±24 | 16 | 51% ±16 | 77% ±31 | 90% ±42 | 98% | 4h | 1.89% | 1.73% | 39 → 1 | |
| at post · 422.855 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 420.5688–422.7336 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 6.1% | 9h | 8.4d ago · 79× | 74% ±25 | 28% ±13 | 35% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 47 | 52% ±11 | 74% ±25 | 82% ±38 | 85% ±49 | 5h | 2.24% | 1.13% | 73 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 422.855 | 433.9261 | 419.6305 | stop | -1.44% |