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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-02-03 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,773 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.34 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 451.4095 (+7.0%) | 5.0 | 4.1% | 6h | 5.2d ago · 39× | 8% ±13 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±13 | 18% ±30 | 36% ±67 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 104 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 439.9645–440.0332 (+4.3%) | 3.1 | 8.6% | 12h | 5.4d ago · 68× | 19% ±16 | 39% ±15 | 39% ±15 | 22% ±13 | 40 | 6% ±4 | 19% ±16 | 37% ±33 | 51% ±57 | 7.0d | 2.08% | 1.02% | 135 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 433.993–434.9621 (+2.9%) | 2.1 | 15.2% | 1.0d | 1.4d ago · 81× | 29% ±27 | 33% ±13 | 28% ±13 | 39% ±14 | 47 | 9% ±7 | 29% ±27 | 59% ±48 | 73% ±62 | 2.8d | 1.59% | 1.47% | 67 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 431.6726–440.006 (+2.3%) | 1.7 | 9.8% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 61× | 48% ±37 | 23% ±17 | 35% ±19 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 14% ±10 | 46% ±35 | 59% ±56 | 64% | 1.9d | 1.64% | 1.72% | 47 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL | 429.9182 (+1.9%) | 1.4 | 4.8% | 6h | 7.4d ago · 30× | 60% ±48 | 27% ±25 | 47% ±28 | 27% ±25 | 12 | 21% ±15 | 64% ±42 | 82% ±53 | 89% | 1.0d | 1.36% | 1.97% | 27 → 1 | |
| LVN zone | 428.1638–429.4796 (+1.5%) | 1.1 | 4.0% | 4h | 15.3d ago · 46× | 74% ±33 | 15% ±17 | 35% ±23 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 44% ±15 | 75% ±32 | 86% ±48 | 98% | 18h | 1.76% | 1.60% | 43 → 1 | |
| at post · 421.81 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 420.2759–421.3866 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.8% | 9h | 8.4d ago · 79× | 74% ±25 | 28% ±13 | 35% ±14 | 38% ±14 | 47 | 53% ±11 | 75% ±25 | 82% ±38 | 85% ±49 | 4h | 2.24% | 1.13% | 74 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 421.81 | 433.993 | 418.0426 | stop | -3.77% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 421.81 | 434.4159 | 416.7196 | stop | -3.77% |