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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-02-04 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,773 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.34 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 451.4095 (+8.3%) | 5.7 | 3.8% | 6h | 5.2d ago · 39× | 6% ±12 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±11 | 14% ±28 | 33% ±65 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 99 → 2 | |
| 14D VAH | 440.0332 (+5.6%) | 3.8 | 8.8% | 13h | 19.4d ago · 52× | 14% ±15 | 44% ±17 | 29% ±16 | 26% ±16 | 31 | 5% ±4 | 14% ±15 | 29% ±34 | 46% ±56 | > 7d | 2.11% | 0.78% | 123 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 431.234–440.006 (+3.5%) | 2.4 | 8.6% | 12h | 5.4d ago · 61× | 28% ±31 | 23% ±17 | 35% ±19 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 8% ±7 | 27% ±29 | 36% ±54 | 52% | 7.0d | 1.64% | 1.72% | 51 → 1 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC | 429.4796–434.9621 (+3.1%) | 2.1 | 4.4% | 5h | 1.4d ago · 68× | 24% ±18 | 31% ±14 | 37% ±15 | 32% ±14 | 40 | 6% ±4 | 24% ±18 | 48% ±37 | 63% ±55 | 4.3d | 1.62% | 1.52% | 129 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 428.1638–429.4796 (+2.7%) | 1.9 | 4.2% | 5h | 15.2d ago · 46× | 48% ±44 | 15% ±17 | 35% ±23 | 50% ±24 | 17 | 16% ±13 | 48% ±44 | 73% ±62 | 92% | 1.9d | 1.76% | 1.60% | 30 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 419.8885–422.5809 (+0.8%) | 0.5 | 5.8% | 8h | 5.4d ago · 81× | 67% ±22 | 32% ±13 | 33% ±13 | 35% ±14 | 47 | 51% ±10 | 66% ±22 | 81% ±32 | 86% ±40 | 4h | 1.75% | 1.46% | 105 → 3 | |
| at post · 416.76 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 414.4863 (-0.5%) | 0.4 | 1.4% | 2h | 12.2d ago · 79× | 73% ±22 | 28% ±13 | 36% ±14 | 36% ±14 | 47 | 50% ±10 | 74% ±22 | 82% ±34 | 87% ±47 | 4h | 2.23% | 0.85% | 90 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 416.76 | 396.6153 | 434.4159 | target | +6.47% |