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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-02-12 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,773 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.34 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 449.834 (+4.7%) | 4.2 | 2.6% | 4h | 5.2d ago · 39× | 9% ±13 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±13 | 20% ±32 | 38% ±55 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 111 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 435.2317–436.35 (+1.3%) | 1.1 | 9.0% | 14h | 5.4d ago · 68× | 43% ±22 | 32% ±14 | 43% ±15 | 25% ±13 | 41 | 25% ±8 | 44% ±22 | 59% ±36 | 69% ±52 | 2.1d | 1.80% | 1.22% | 121 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 432.3113–440.0992 (+0.6%) | 0.5 | 6.2% | 10h | 5.4d ago · 61× | 69% ±32 | 22% ±17 | 37% ±19 | 41% ±20 | 24 | 38% ±13 | 71% ±31 | 79% ±46 | 79% | 18h | 1.61% | 1.49% | 50 → 1 | |
| at post · 429.67 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 428.3632 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 3.5% | 4h | 12.4d ago · 43× | 73% ±31 | 27% ±17 | 37% ±18 | 37% ±18 | 27 | 60% ±14 | 73% ±31 | 81% ±44 | 90% | 1h | 2.16% | 0.77% | 46 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 418.6825–427.1194 (-0.6%) | 0.5 | 5.7% | 8h | 1.3d ago · 69× | 76% ±21 | 35% ±14 | 35% ±14 | 30% ±14 | 43 | 59% ±10 | 77% ±21 | 86% ±31 | 89% ±44 | 2h | 2.05% | 1.06% | 88 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 423.9135–425.4105 (-1.0%) | 0.9 | 8.5% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 78× | 66% ±21 | 28% ±13 | 37% ±14 | 34% ±14 | 46 | 47% ±9 | 65% ±21 | 76% ±32 | 91% ±32 | 18h | 2.14% | 1.18% | 120 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 420.6294 (-2.1%) | 1.9 | 7.2% | 11h | 7.2d ago · 44× | 36% ±28 | 32% ±17 | 39% ±18 | 29% ±17 | 28 | 14% ±8 | 36% ±27 | 48% ±49 | 69% ±64 | 3.1d | 2.75% | 0.86% | 70 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 411.0676 (-4.3%) | 3.8 | 2.0% | 3h | 12.2d ago · 79× | 11% ±13 | 27% ±12 | 35% ±13 | 38% ±14 | 49 | 4% ±3 | 11% ±13 | 36% ±33 | 56% ±56 | 6.8d | 1.98% | 1.00% | 142 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 400.5107–405.7027 (-5.6%) | 4.9 | 1.6% | 2h | 12.4d ago · 36× | 4% ±12 | 20% ±23 | 27% ±25 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±11 | 3% ±21 | 13% | > 7d | 2.16% | 2.66% | 57 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 403.7591 (-6.0%) | 5.3 | 1.3% | 2h | 8.4d ago · 58× | 11% ±13 | 25% ±14 | 35% ±15 | 40% ±16 | 37 | 4% ±3 | 11% ±13 | 30% ±32 | 50% ±57 | > 7d | 1.99% | 1.55% | 138 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | long | 429.67 | 454.2741 | 423.9135 | stop | -3.16% |