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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-02-12 16:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 449.185 (+7.4%) | 5.9 | 3.0% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 40× | 5% ±10 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 5% ±10 | 11% ±23 | 27% ±50 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 120 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 7D VAH | 435.2317–436.35 (+4.1%) | 3.3 | 9.6% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 68× | 15% ±14 | 32% ±14 | 43% ±15 | 25% ±13 | 41 | 4% ±3 | 17% ±15 | 36% ±33 | 53% ±56 | 6.5d | 1.80% | 1.22% | 145 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 428.8867 (+2.6%) | 2.0 | 3.3% | 3h | 19.5d ago · 52× | 32% ±22 | 43% ±17 | 31% ±16 | 26% ±15 | 32 | 17% ±7 | 33% ±22 | 52% ±40 | 62% ±55 | 3.0d | 2.10% | 0.84% | 108 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 423.9135–425.3009 (+1.4%) | 1.1 | 9.7% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 82× | 48% ±24 | 34% ±13 | 27% ±13 | 39% ±14 | 48 | 30% ±9 | 48% ±24 | 62% ±39 | 74% ±61 | 1.5d | 1.63% | 1.56% | 99 → 2 | |
| 30D VAL | 420.6294 (+0.6%) | 0.5 | 8.2% | 12h | 7.4d ago · 30× | 77% ±37 | 29% ±24 | 47% ±26 | 24% ±22 | 14 | 43% ±18 | 77% ±37 | 83% ±52 | 83% | 18h | 1.39% | 1.64% | 28 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 418.6825–427.1194 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 6.4% | 10h | 5.5d ago · 61× | 80% ±32 | 25% ±17 | 36% ±19 | 39% ±19 | 25 | 46% ±17 | 80% ±32 | 86% ±48 | 86% | 18h | 1.64% | 1.27% | 35 → 1 | |
| at post · 418.1098 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 412.9518 (-1.2%) | 1.0 | 2.9% | 5h | 12.2d ago · 79× | 65% ±20 | 27% ±12 | 35% ±13 | 38% ±14 | 49 | 40% ±8 | 65% ±20 | 75% ±32 | 85% ±41 | 18h | 1.98% | 1.00% | 132 → 3 | |
| LVN zone | 400.5107–405.0537 (-3.1%) | 2.5 | 1.8% | 2h | 12.5d ago · 36× | 10% ±22 | 20% ±23 | 27% ±25 | 53% ±28 | 12 | 7% ±8 | 10% ±22 | 17% ±52 | 25% | > 7d | 2.16% | 2.66% | 40 → 1 | |
| 14D VAL | 403.7591 (-3.4%) | 2.7 | 1.4% | 2h | 8.5d ago · 58× | 18% ±18 | 25% ±14 | 35% ±15 | 40% ±16 | 37 | 8% ±5 | 18% ±18 | 43% ±40 | 67% ±65 | 4.0d | 1.99% | 1.55% | 103 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 418.1098 | 423.9135 | 433.4097 | target | -0.55% |