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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-03-02 20:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,777 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0024), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.39 to 0.23) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 423.657 (+5.1%) | 4.7 | 5.8% | 9h | 1.2d ago · 40× | 5% ±9 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±9 | 13% ±23 | 26% ±43 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 147 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 415.2056 (+3.0%) | 2.7 | 8.3% | 13h | 19.5d ago · 52× | 20% ±16 | 47% ±17 | 29% ±15 | 24% ±14 | 35 | 8% ±5 | 20% ±16 | 35% ±33 | 48% ±57 | > 7d | 2.25% | 0.78% | 142 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAH | 409.9107–410.3921 (+1.7%) | 1.5 | 9.1% | 14h | 1.2d ago · 68× | 34% ±19 | 32% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 31% ±14 | 44 | 15% ±6 | 34% ±19 | 50% ±35 | 63% ±47 | 3.5d | 1.70% | 1.21% | 150 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 404.6176–416.3342 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 6.6% | 8h | 5.5d ago · 61× | 71% ±27 | 31% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 31% ±16 | 33 | 42% ±12 | 71% ±26 | 80% ±39 | 83% ±52 | 18h | 2.09% | 0.94% | 69 → 2 | |
| at post · 403.235 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 401.6885–402.8509 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 5.8% | 7h | 6.5d ago · 78× | 72% ±22 | 29% ±13 | 35% ±13 | 36% ±13 | 50 | 51% ±10 | 72% ±22 | 81% ±34 | 87% ±46 | 7h | 2.18% | 1.35% | 93 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 397.877 (-1.3%) | 1.2 | 4.0% | 5h | 12.3d ago · 79× | 59% ±20 | 25% ±11 | 41% ±13 | 34% ±12 | 56 | 32% ±8 | 59% ±20 | 71% ±31 | 83% ±42 | 22h | 1.89% | 0.90% | 146 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 403.235 | 410.3921 | 397.877 | stop | -2.70% |
| 14d | VAL | long | 403.235 | 409.9107 | 399.3018 | stop | -2.70% |
| 30d | VAL | long | 403.235 | 410.2318 | 397.7341 | stop | -2.70% |