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TSLA · 1h · posted 2026-03-03 14:30 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
TSLA · these odds carry no usable signal 1,773 tests, 27% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.196, 95% 0.0000 to 0.0023), and their calibration slope is -0.09 (95% -0.34 to 0.26) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 421.413 (+9.0%) | 6.9 | 6.5% | 9h | 5.1d ago · 39× | 2% ±5 | 17% ±17 | 39% ±21 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±2 | 2% ±5 | 6% ±15 | 15% ±35 | > 7d | 1.22% | 1.56% | 155 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D POC · 14D VAH | 414.2596–415.9486 (+7.1%) | 5.5 | 9.6% | 15h | 5.3d ago · 68× | 6% ±10 | 39% ±14 | 37% ±14 | 24% ±13 | 44 | 2% ±2 | 6% ±10 | 18% ±28 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | 1.97% | 1.03% | 131 → 3 | |
| 14D POC | 410.3749 (+6.1%) | 4.7 | 9.9% | 16h | 1.3d ago · 54× | 14% ±20 | 28% ±15 | 28% ±15 | 44% ±16 | 36 | 3% ±4 | 14% ±20 | 31% ±45 | 65% ±66 | 5.9d | 1.45% | 1.29% | 70 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 404.4844–416.434 (+4.6%) | 3.5 | 7.3% | 9h | 5.3d ago · 61× | 20% ±24 | 31% ±16 | 39% ±17 | 31% ±16 | 33 | 2% ±3 | 20% ±24 | 29% ±45 | 54% ±69 | 7.0d | 2.09% | 0.94% | 63 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D POC | 401.761–402.9433 (+3.9%) | 3.0 | 6.2% | 9h | 5.3d ago · 81× | 25% ±22 | 30% ±12 | 35% ±13 | 35% ±13 | 54 | 5% ±5 | 25% ±22 | 48% ±44 | 74% ±61 | 3.6d | 1.66% | 1.42% | 87 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 397.7074–399.0075 (+2.8%) | 2.2 | 4.3% | 5h | 6.3d ago · 52× | 41% ±36 | 20% ±14 | 51% ±18 | 29% ±16 | 31 | 11% ±10 | 41% ±36 | 79% ±57 | 94% | 1.6d | 1.46% | 1.30% | 40 → 1 | |
| at post · 386.72 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 386.72 | 370.1678 | 402.9433 | stop | -5.42% |
| 14d | VAL | short | 386.72 | 372.5324 | 410.3749 | expired | -5.42% |
| 30d | VAL | short | 386.72 | 364.3145 | 414.6914 | expired | -5.42% |