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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-12 08:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,537.38 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 1.7% | 6h | 18.7d ago · 44× | 92% ±11 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 59 | 71% ±8 | 92% ±11 | 95% ±15 | 98% ±17 | 1h | 1.82% | 1.47% | 136 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,532.29 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,516.28–2,523 (-0.4%) | 0.3 | 4.1% | 20h | 2.0d ago · 64× | 88% ±12 | 50% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 45% ±11 | 74 | 66% ±7 | 88% ±12 | 92% ±16 | 94% ±24 | 2h | 1.90% | 1.99% | 175 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,485.12–2,499.68 (-1.3%) | 1.1 | 9.2% | 2.9d | 1.6d ago · 106× | 72% ±10 | 51% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 38% ±8 | 155 | 45% ±5 | 72% ±10 | 84% ±14 | 90% ±17 | 6h | 2.02% | 1.32% | 452 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,450.61 (-3.2%) | 2.8 | 8.1% | 3.5d | 4.3d ago · 84× | 38% ±9 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 117 | 10% ±2 | 38% ±9 | 61% ±15 | 68% ±22 | 1.8d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 730 → 17 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,429.73 (-4.1%) | 3.6 | 5.3% | 1.6d | 4.5d ago · 58× | 26% ±8 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 75 | 6% ±2 | 26% ±8 | 48% ±16 | 65% ±23 | 3.4d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 661 → 16 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.56 (-6.5%) | 5.7 | 1.7% | 6h | 20.3d ago · 30× | 10% ±5 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±5 | 26% ±14 | 38% ±23 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 708 → 17 | |
| LVN zone | 2,127.39–2,215.82 (-12.5%) | 11 | 0.2% | 11m | 13.7d ago · 46× | 2% ±3 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±8 | 14% ±18 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 608 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 1,870.15–1,910.34 (-24.6%) | 22 | 2.5% | 1.3d | 2.0d ago · 84× | 2% ±4 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±13 | 8% ±22 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 243 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.