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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-12 12:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,406 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0033), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,537.38 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.5% | 8h | 18.7d ago · 44× | 91% ±12 | 44% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±13 | 59 | 72% ±8 | 92% ±12 | 95% ±17 | 98% ±17 | 1h | 1.82% | 1.47% | 131 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,534.39 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,518.9–2,526.1 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 3.0% | 15h | 1.9d ago · 64× | 87% ±12 | 50% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 45% ±11 | 74 | 66% ±7 | 88% ±12 | 92% ±17 | 93% ±24 | 2h | 1.90% | 1.99% | 181 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,485.12–2,499.68 (-1.4%) | 1.4 | 7.9% | 2.5d | 1.6d ago · 106× | 66% ±11 | 51% ±8 | 11% ±5 | 38% ±8 | 155 | 33% ±5 | 66% ±11 | 80% ±16 | 88% ±20 | 11h | 2.02% | 1.32% | 411 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,450.61 (-3.3%) | 3.4 | 6.9% | 3.0d | 4.3d ago · 84× | 33% ±8 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 117 | 8% ±2 | 33% ±8 | 56% ±14 | 66% ±21 | 2.3d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 823 → 20 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,429.73 (-4.1%) | 4.2 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 4.4d ago · 58× | 22% ±7 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 75 | 4% ±1 | 22% ±7 | 45% ±15 | 64% ±22 | 3.9d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 752 → 18 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.56 (-6.5%) | 6.7 | 1.5% | 5h | 20.3d ago · 30× | 8% ±5 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±4 | 22% ±12 | 35% ±21 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 796 → 19 | |
| LVN zone | 2,127.39–2,215.82 (-12.6%) | 13 | 0.2% | 8m | 13.6d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±6 | 9% ±15 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 595 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 1,878.19–1,910.34 (-24.6%) | 25 | 2.2% | 1.2d | 1.9d ago · 84× | 0% ±2 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 5% ±13 | 5% ±20 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 215 → 5 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.