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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-12 16:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,537.55 (+0.3%) | 0.6 | 0.7% | 4h | 18.6d ago · 44× | 90% ±11 | 43% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 46% ±13 | 60 | 64% ±7 | 90% ±11 | 94% ±15 | 97% ±16 | 2h | 1.74% | 1.48% | 176 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,530.69 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 2,526.1 (-0.2%) | 0.4 | 1.4% | 6h | 11.0d ago · 55× | 84% ±14 | 56% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 38% ±12 | 63 | 64% ±7 | 85% ±14 | 90% ±19 | 90% ±29 | 2h | 2.15% | 1.89% | 160 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,518.9 (-0.5%) | 1.0 | 2.1% | 11h | 1.8d ago · 64× | 83% ±12 | 46% ±11 | 4% ±4 | 50% ±11 | 75 | 57% ±7 | 83% ±12 | 90% ±17 | 95% ±19 | 3h | 1.70% | 2.05% | 222 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 2,499.68 (-1.2%) | 2.6 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 1.4d ago · 84× | 48% ±13 | 48% ±9 | 14% ±6 | 38% ±9 | 119 | 13% ±4 | 48% ±13 | 69% ±20 | 80% ±26 | 1.2d | 1.87% | 1.57% | 360 → 9 | |
| 7D POC | 2,491.32 (-1.6%) | 3.3 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 42% ±11 | 52% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 40% ±8 | 156 | 10% ±3 | 42% ±11 | 63% ±18 | 79% ±23 | 1.5d | 2.08% | 1.21% | 493 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 2,485.37 (-1.8%) | 3.8 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 38% ±12 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 36% ±10 | 93 | 8% ±3 | 38% ±12 | 64% ±21 | 77% ±27 | 1.6d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 386 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,447.98 (-3.3%) | 7.0 | 3.1% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 84× | 13% ±5 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 117 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±5 | 31% ±12 | 48% ±20 | > 7d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 1068 → 25 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,429.73 (-4.0%) | 8.6 | 2.1% | 13h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 8% ±4 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 75 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±4 | 26% ±11 | 49% ±20 | > 7d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 1001 → 24 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.96 (-6.4%) | 14 | 0.7% | 2h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 10% ±7 | 23% ±16 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 1101 → 26 | |
| LVN zone | 2,128.12–2,216.43 (-12.4%) | 27 | 0.1% | 4m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 0% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 4% ±17 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 216 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 1,879.26–1,911.37 (-24.5%) | 53 | 1.0% | 15h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 1% ±7 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 130 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±7 | 1% ±12 | 1% ±17 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.51% | 67 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.