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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-12 20:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,537.55 (+0.7%) | 2.0 | 0.6% | 3h | 18.9d ago · 44× | 50% ±16 | 43% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 46% ±13 | 60 | 16% ±5 | 50% ±16 | 68% ±26 | 83% ±33 | 1.0d | 1.74% | 1.48% | 224 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,529.21 (+0.4%) | 1.1 | 1.0% | 5h | 2.1d ago · 69× | 80% ±11 | 57% ±10 | 5% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 88 | 55% ±6 | 80% ±11 | 88% ±16 | 92% ±21 | 3h | 2.20% | 1.17% | 308 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,524.16 (+0.2%) | 0.5 | 1.3% | 7h | 1.4d ago · 97× | 81% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 116 | 65% ±5 | 81% ±11 | 91% ±14 | 96% ±15 | 2h | 2.28% | 1.61% | 289 → 7 | |
| at post · 2,519.44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,499.68 (-0.8%) | 2.2 | 2.9% | 23h | 1.7d ago · 84× | 53% ±13 | 48% ±9 | 14% ±6 | 38% ±9 | 119 | 20% ±4 | 53% ±13 | 73% ±21 | 82% ±27 | 21h | 1.87% | 1.57% | 322 → 8 | |
| 7D POC | 2,491.32 (-1.1%) | 3.1 | 2.9% | 1.0d | 1.3d ago · 106× | 45% ±11 | 52% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 40% ±8 | 156 | 10% ±3 | 45% ±11 | 65% ±18 | 81% ±22 | 1.3d | 2.08% | 1.21% | 490 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 2,485.37 (-1.4%) | 3.8 | 2.5% | 20h | 1.7d ago · 72× | 39% ±12 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 36% ±10 | 93 | 8% ±3 | 39% ±12 | 64% ±21 | 77% ±28 | 1.6d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 380 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,450.61 (-2.7%) | 7.6 | 2.5% | 1.1d | 4.5d ago · 84× | 12% ±5 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 117 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±5 | 29% ±12 | 46% ±20 | > 7d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 1044 → 25 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,429.73 (-3.6%) | 10.0 | 1.6% | 10h | 4.6d ago · 58× | 6% ±4 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 75 | 0% ±0 | 6% ±4 | 23% ±11 | 45% ±20 | > 7d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 1005 → 24 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,368.96 (-6.0%) | 17 | 0.6% | 2h | 20.5d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 8% ±7 | 19% ±16 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 1010 → 24 | |
| LVN zone | 2,128.12–2,216.43 (-12.0%) | 34 | <0.1% | 3m | 13.8d ago · 46× | 1% ±5 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 2% ±20 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 95 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 1,879.26–1,911.37 (-24.1%) | 67 | 0.8% | 12h | 2.1d ago · 84× | 3% ±13 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 131 | 3% ±5 | 3% ±13 | 3% ±22 | 3% | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 35 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.