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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-12 20:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,896.9 (+4.9%) | 29 | 0.5% | 3h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 0% ±1 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±5 | 8% ±14 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 590 → 14 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,518.5 (+3.1%) | 18 | 1.1% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 1% ±2 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 88 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 6% ±7 | 15% ±17 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 741 → 18 | |
| 7D VAH | 79,084.64 (+2.5%) | 15 | 1.2% | 8h | 1.4d ago · 89× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 15% ±12 | 24% ±22 | > 7d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 597 → 14 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 77,202.29–77,234.16 (+0.1%) | 0.6 | 1.7% | 18h | 5.9d ago · 116× | 83% ±9 | 42% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 48% ±8 | 147 | 64% ±5 | 83% ±9 | 93% ±11 | 96% ±12 | 2h | 1.40% | 0.95% | 411 → 10 | |
| at post · 77,129.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 76,879.85 (-0.3%) | 1.9 | 1.0% | 5h | 20.0d ago · 56× | 57% ±14 | 43% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 71 | 20% ±4 | 57% ±14 | 69% ±22 | 73% ±33 | 17h | 1.25% | 1.34% | 300 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 76,635.31 (-0.6%) | 3.7 | 0.6% | 2h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 32% ±8 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 121 | 6% ±2 | 32% ±8 | 53% ±14 | 64% ±20 | 2.5d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 871 → 21 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,343.22 (-1.0%) | 6.0 | 0.3% | 47m | 19.5d ago · 37× | 13% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 29% ±15 | 44% ±24 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 662 → 16 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-3.6%) | 21 | <0.1% | 12m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 1% ±2 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±6 | 10% ±26 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 196 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 62,880.17–63,078.16 (-18.2%) | 106 | 0.5% | 18h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 8% ±38 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 8% ±16 | 8% ±37 | 8% | 8% | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 11 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.