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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-12 16:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,094.88 (+4.9%) | 20 | 0.6% | 3h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 0% ±1 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 12% ±15 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 775 → 18 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,518.5 (+2.8%) | 12 | 1.5% | 12h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 5% ±3 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 88 | 1% ±0 | 5% ±3 | 13% ±9 | 28% ±18 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 985 → 23 | |
| 7D VAH | 79,130 (+2.3%) | 9.7 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.4d ago · 89× | 8% ±4 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 1% ±0 | 8% ±4 | 22% ±11 | 36% ±20 | > 7d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 929 → 22 | |
| at post · 77,326.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 77,202.29–77,234.16 (-0.1%) | 0.5 | 2.4% | 1.1d | 3.5d ago · 114× | 86% ±8 | 48% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 148 | 67% ±4 | 86% ±8 | 91% ±12 | 95% ±14 | 2h | 1.32% | 0.96% | 434 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,879.85 (-0.6%) | 2.4 | 1.3% | 8h | 20.0d ago · 56× | 46% ±13 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 70 | 13% ±3 | 46% ±13 | 63% ±21 | 70% ±30 | 1.2d | 1.27% | 1.35% | 366 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL | 76,635.31 (-0.9%) | 3.7 | 0.8% | 3h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 32% ±8 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 39% ±9 | 120 | 6% ±2 | 32% ±8 | 52% ±14 | 65% ±20 | 2.5d | 1.48% | 1.21% | 866 → 21 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,343.22 (-1.3%) | 5.3 | 0.4% | 1h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 17% ±7 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 3% ±1 | 17% ±7 | 34% ±16 | 49% ±26 | > 7d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 601 → 14 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-3.8%) | 16 | <0.1% | 16m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 1% ±3 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±6 | 10% ±22 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 294 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 63,078.16–63,276.14 (-18.2%) | 76 | 0.3% | 3h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 4% ±19 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 4% ±7 | 4% ±19 | 4% | 4% | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 25 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.