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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-12 12:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,094.88 (+4.9%) | 9.4 | 1.2% | 6h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 4% ±3 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 15% ±10 | 30% ±19 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 962 → 23 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,518.5 (+2.9%) | 5.5 | 3.2% | 1.2d | 1.3d ago · 67× | 20% ±7 | 50% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 87 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±7 | 43% ±14 | 60% ±21 | 4.4d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 825 → 20 | |
| 7D VAH | 79,130 (+2.4%) | 4.5 | 3.8% | 23h | 1.4d ago · 89× | 23% ±7 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 3% ±1 | 23% ±7 | 51% ±14 | 67% ±20 | 2.9d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 933 → 22 | |
| at post · 77,294.9 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 77,202.29–77,234.16 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 5.1% | 2.3d | 3.5d ago · 114× | 91% ±8 | 48% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 148 | 76% ±5 | 91% ±8 | 94% ±11 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 1.32% | 0.96% | 337 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,879.85 (-0.5%) | 1.0 | 2.9% | 17h | 20.0d ago · 56× | 74% ±13 | 44% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 52% ±12 | 70 | 47% ±6 | 73% ±13 | 81% ±20 | 83% ±30 | 5h | 1.27% | 1.35% | 271 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 76,635.31 (-0.9%) | 1.6 | 1.8% | 8h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 60% ±11 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 39% ±9 | 120 | 27% ±4 | 60% ±11 | 77% ±16 | 82% ±22 | 15h | 1.48% | 1.21% | 495 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,343.22 (-1.2%) | 2.4 | 0.8% | 2h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 49% ±16 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 17% ±5 | 49% ±16 | 65% ±26 | 73% ±39 | 1.1d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 228 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-3.8%) | 7.3 | 0.2% | 33m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 13% ±8 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±8 | 27% ±18 | 36% ±31 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 394 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 62,880.17–63,276.14 (-18.1%) | 35 | 0.9% | 9h | 1.7d ago · 98× | 2% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 10% ±22 | 12% ±37 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 130 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.