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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-12 08:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 81,292.87 (+5.1%) | 7.6 | 1.2% | 5h | 5.0d ago · 38× | 6% ±4 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±4 | 21% ±12 | 36% ±21 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 866 → 21 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,518.5 (+2.8%) | 4.2 | 4.1% | 1.5d | 1.4d ago · 67× | 28% ±8 | 50% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 87 | 4% ±2 | 28% ±8 | 53% ±16 | 67% ±23 | 2.6d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 676 → 16 | |
| 7D VAH | 79,175.36 (+2.4%) | 3.5 | 4.7% | 1.2d | 1.5d ago · 89× | 30% ±8 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 5% ±2 | 30% ±8 | 58% ±15 | 73% ±20 | 2.0d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 768 → 18 | |
| at post · 77,325.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 77,202.29–77,234.16 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 6.3% | 2.6d | 3.6d ago · 114× | 91% ±8 | 48% ±8 | 9% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 148 | 75% ±5 | 91% ±8 | 94% ±11 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 1.32% | 0.96% | 338 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 76,635.31–76,879.85 (-0.6%) | 0.9 | 3.7% | 22h | 6.2d ago · 99× | 69% ±10 | 51% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 120 | 40% ±4 | 69% ±10 | 81% ±15 | 86% ±21 | 8h | 1.40% | 1.26% | 469 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,343.22 (-1.3%) | 1.9 | 1.0% | 3h | 19.6d ago · 37× | 64% ±17 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 29% ±7 | 63% ±17 | 76% ±26 | 83% ±37 | 11h | 1.41% | 1.29% | 179 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 73,175.44–74,363.36 (-3.8%) | 5.7 | 0.3% | 44m | 7.2d ago · 46× | 17% ±10 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±10 | 38% ±22 | 49% ±35 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 348 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 62,880.17–63,474.13 (-17.9%) | 27 | 1.9% | 20h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 3% ±7 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 12% ±21 | 17% ±36 | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 162 → 4 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.