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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-13 04:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,537.55 (+0.7%) | 2.5 | 0.4% | 2h | 18.5d ago · 44× | 42% ±15 | 43% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 46% ±13 | 60 | 12% ±4 | 42% ±15 | 63% ±24 | 79% ±32 | 1.5d | 1.74% | 1.48% | 263 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,529.21 (+0.4%) | 1.4 | 0.8% | 4h | 1.7d ago · 69× | 73% ±12 | 57% ±10 | 5% ±5 | 37% ±10 | 88 | 46% ±6 | 73% ±12 | 83% ±18 | 88% ±24 | 6h | 2.20% | 1.17% | 311 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,524.16 (+0.2%) | 0.7 | 1.1% | 9h | 1.1d ago · 97× | 78% ±11 | 52% ±9 | 4% ±4 | 44% ±9 | 116 | 60% ±5 | 78% ±11 | 89% ±14 | 95% ±14 | 2h | 2.28% | 1.61% | 330 → 8 | |
| at post · 2,519.23 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,499.68 (-0.8%) | 2.7 | 2.4% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 84× | 47% ±13 | 48% ±9 | 15% ±6 | 37% ±9 | 120 | 12% ±3 | 47% ±12 | 68% ±20 | 80% ±26 | 1.2d | 1.86% | 1.56% | 370 → 9 | |
| 7D POC | 2,491.32 (-1.1%) | 3.9 | 2.3% | 20h | 1.4d ago · 106× | 37% ±10 | 52% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 40% ±8 | 156 | 8% ±2 | 37% ±10 | 60% ±18 | 77% ±24 | 1.8d | 2.08% | 1.21% | 505 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 2,485.37 (-1.3%) | 4.7 | 2.0% | 16h | 1.4d ago · 72× | 30% ±11 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 36% ±10 | 93 | 6% ±2 | 30% ±10 | 56% ±20 | 70% ±28 | 2.4d | 2.14% | 1.12% | 437 → 10 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,447.98 (-2.8%) | 9.8 | 1.9% | 15h | 4.1d ago · 84× | 8% ±4 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 117 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±4 | 22% ±11 | 39% ±20 | > 7d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 928 → 22 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,429.73 (-3.6%) | 12 | 1.2% | 8h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 3% ±3 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 75 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±10 | 35% ±19 | > 7d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 963 → 23 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,376.99 (-5.6%) | 20 | 0.6% | 3h | 20.1d ago · 30× | 1% ±2 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 5% ±6 | 15% ±15 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 933 → 22 | |
| LVN zone | 2,128.12–2,216.43 (-12.0%) | 42 | <0.1% | 3m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 2% ±11 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 42 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 1,879.26–1,911.37 (-24.1%) | 84 | 0.6% | 10h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 6% ±27 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 131 | 5% ±10 | 5% ±25 | 5% | 5% | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 18 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.