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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-13 08:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,407 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.23 to 0.46) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,537.55 (+1.8%) | 5.4 | 0.5% | 2h | 18.8d ago · 44× | 18% ±8 | 43% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 46% ±13 | 60 | 3% ±1 | 18% ±8 | 34% ±16 | 55% ±26 | 5.5d | 1.74% | 1.48% | 569 → 14 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,524.16–2,526.1 (+1.2%) | 3.8 | 1.3% | 11h | 1.3d ago · 97× | 31% ±7 | 54% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 41% ±9 | 116 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±7 | 54% ±14 | 74% ±19 | 2.5d | 2.25% | 1.42% | 893 → 21 | |
| 14D POC | 2,499.68 (+0.3%) | 0.8 | 2.7% | 21h | 3.4d ago · 78× | 89% ±8 | 37% ±9 | 13% ±6 | 50% ±9 | 108 | 71% ±5 | 89% ±8 | 94% ±11 | 96% ±14 | 1h | 1.98% | 1.26% | 345 → 8 | |
| at post · 2,493.25 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,491.32 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 2.6% | 23h | 1.2d ago · 106× | 90% ±7 | 52% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 40% ±8 | 156 | 80% ±4 | 90% ±7 | 95% ±10 | 97% ±11 | 1h | 2.08% | 1.21% | 381 → 9 | |
| 30D POC | 2,485.37 (-0.3%) | 1.0 | 2.3% | 18h | 1.7d ago · 72× | 81% ±11 | 54% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 36% ±10 | 93 | 59% ±6 | 81% ±11 | 91% ±14 | 92% ±20 | 2h | 2.14% | 1.12% | 299 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,447.98 (-1.8%) | 5.5 | 2.1% | 17h | 4.4d ago · 84× | 19% ±6 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 117 | 2% ±1 | 19% ±6 | 40% ±12 | 54% ±19 | 5.4d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 1087 → 26 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,429.73 (-2.5%) | 7.8 | 1.4% | 9h | 4.5d ago · 58× | 9% ±4 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 75 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±4 | 28% ±12 | 53% ±20 | 6.3d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 989 → 24 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,376.99 (-4.7%) | 14 | 0.7% | 3h | 20.4d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±7 | 22% ±16 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 1100 → 26 | |
| LVN zone | 2,128.12–2,216.43 (-11.1%) | 34 | <0.1% | 3m | 13.8d ago · 46× | 1% ±5 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 1% ±9 | 2% ±20 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 96 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 1,887.28–1,919.4 (-23.0%) | 70 | 0.4% | 4h | 2.0d ago · 84× | 3% ±16 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 131 | 3% ±6 | 3% ±15 | 3% ±23 | 3% | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 32 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.