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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-13 12:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,537.55 (+2.5%) | 6.1 | 0.6% | 3h | 18.6d ago · 44× | 14% ±7 | 43% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 46% ±13 | 60 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±7 | 30% ±15 | 51% ±25 | 6.7d | 1.74% | 1.48% | 633 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,524.16–2,526.1 (+1.9%) | 4.8 | 1.6% | 13h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 24% ±6 | 54% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 41% ±9 | 116 | 3% ±1 | 24% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 66% ±19 | 3.6d | 2.25% | 1.42% | 1005 → 24 | |
| 14D POC | 2,499.68 (+0.9%) | 2.3 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 3.1d ago · 78× | 56% ±15 | 37% ±9 | 13% ±6 | 50% ±9 | 108 | 17% ±5 | 56% ±15 | 73% ±23 | 80% ±32 | 19h | 1.98% | 1.26% | 250 → 6 | |
| 7D POC | 2,491.32 (+0.6%) | 1.5 | 3.3% | 1.2d | 3.1d ago · 103× | 67% ±11 | 46% ±8 | 8% ±5 | 45% ±8 | 139 | 36% ±5 | 67% ±11 | 82% ±16 | 89% ±20 | 9h | 2.11% | 1.44% | 408 → 10 | |
| 30D POC | 2,485.37 (+0.4%) | 0.9 | 2.9% | 22h | 3.5d ago · 66× | 84% ±10 | 40% ±11 | 12% ±7 | 48% ±11 | 80 | 64% ±6 | 84% ±10 | 94% ±12 | 96% ±14 | 2h | 1.67% | 1.25% | 281 → 7 | |
| at post · 2,476.21 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,450.61 (-1.0%) | 2.5 | 2.8% | 1.2d | 4.1d ago · 84× | 41% ±9 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 117 | 13% ±3 | 41% ±9 | 63% ±16 | 71% ±22 | 1.5d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 665 → 16 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,429.73 (-1.9%) | 4.6 | 1.8% | 11h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 19% ±7 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 75 | 3% ±1 | 19% ±7 | 42% ±15 | 63% ±22 | 4.2d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 799 → 19 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,376.99 (-4.0%) | 9.8 | 0.9% | 4h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 14% ±9 | 29% ±18 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 1020 → 24 | |
| LVN zone | 2,128.12–2,216.43 (-10.5%) | 26 | <0.1% | 4m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 0% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 4% ±17 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 240 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 1,887.28–1,919.4 (-22.5%) | 55 | 0.5% | 5h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 2% ±8 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 131 | 2% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 2% ±12 | 2% ±17 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 64 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.