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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-09-13 16:00 UTC
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ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,405 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,538.32 (+1.4%) | 3.1 | 0.7% | 3h | 18.6d ago · 44× | 36% ±13 | 44% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 45% ±12 | 61 | 8% ±3 | 36% ±13 | 58% ±23 | 75% ±30 | 1.8d | 1.82% | 1.47% | 320 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,524.16–2,526.1 (+0.8%) | 1.8 | 1.7% | 15h | 1.2d ago · 97× | 56% ±11 | 54% ±9 | 5% ±4 | 41% ±9 | 116 | 24% ±4 | 56% ±11 | 72% ±17 | 86% ±21 | 18h | 2.25% | 1.42% | 479 → 11 | |
| at post · 2,503.44 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,499.68 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.8% | 1.2d | 1.4d ago · 84× | 89% ±8 | 48% ±9 | 15% ±6 | 37% ±9 | 120 | 75% ±5 | 89% ±8 | 95% ±11 | 96% ±13 | 1h | 1.86% | 1.56% | 327 → 8 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,486.45–2,491.32 (-0.5%) | 1.1 | 3.7% | 1.4d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 76% ±9 | 53% ±8 | 9% ±4 | 38% ±8 | 156 | 51% ±4 | 76% ±9 | 87% ±12 | 92% ±16 | 4h | 2.10% | 1.18% | 522 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,447.98 (-2.2%) | 4.9 | 2.9% | 1.1d | 4.1d ago · 84× | 22% ±6 | 57% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 36% ±9 | 117 | 3% ±1 | 22% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 58% ±19 | 4.3d | 2.27% | 1.31% | 1030 → 25 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,429.73 (-2.9%) | 6.5 | 1.9% | 13h | 4.3d ago · 58× | 12% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±11 | 75 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±5 | 33% ±12 | 58% ±20 | 5.3d | 2.16% | 1.75% | 982 → 23 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,378.72 (-5.0%) | 11 | 1.0% | 5h | 20.2d ago · 30× | 3% ±2 | 52% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±2 | 13% ±9 | 27% ±17 | > 7d | 2.94% | 1.38% | 1063 → 25 | |
| LVN zone | 2,131.35–2,211.15 (-11.7%) | 26 | <0.1% | 2m | 13.5d ago · 46× | 0% ±2 | 53% ±14 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±13 | 52 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 1% ±5 | 4% ±17 | > 7d | 2.34% | 1.73% | 240 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 1,883.97–1,915.89 (-23.5%) | 52 | 0.8% | 10h | 1.8d ago · 84× | 1% ±7 | 49% ±9 | 22% ±7 | 29% ±8 | 131 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 1% ±11 | 1% ±16 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.50% | 73 → 2 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.