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BTC · 1h · posted 2026-09-13 20:00 UTC
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BTC · these odds carry no usable signal 4,470 tests, 48% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.1% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0002 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0012), and their calibration slope is -0.18 (95% -0.39 to 0.13) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 80,714.66 (+4.4%) | 17 | 0.5% | 2h | 4.9d ago · 38× | 0% ±1 | 50% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 51 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±5 | 14% ±15 | > 7d | 1.23% | 1.39% | 884 → 21 | |
| 14D VAH | 79,392.85 (+2.7%) | 11 | 1.6% | 10h | 1.3d ago · 67× | 7% ±4 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 88 | 1% ±0 | 7% ±4 | 16% ±10 | 31% ±19 | > 7d | 1.35% | 0.85% | 991 → 24 | |
| 7D VAH | 78,857.85 (+2.0%) | 7.9 | 2.3% | 18h | 1.5d ago · 89× | 11% ±5 | 50% ±9 | 8% ±5 | 42% ±9 | 115 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±5 | 30% ±12 | 45% ±20 | > 7d | 1.38% | 1.00% | 1032 → 25 | |
| at post · 77,312.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 77,202.29–77,284.37 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 1.5d | 3.6d ago · 114× | 89% ±7 | 48% ±8 | 10% ±5 | 43% ±8 | 149 | 71% ±4 | 89% ±7 | 92% ±11 | 95% ±13 | 1h | 1.30% | 0.94% | 420 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 76,691.38 (-0.8%) | 3.2 | 1.1% | 6h | 20.0d ago · 56× | 36% ±10 | 43% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 51% ±12 | 71 | 7% ±2 | 36% ±10 | 53% ±19 | 63% ±27 | 2.4d | 1.25% | 1.34% | 493 → 12 | |
| 7D VAL | 76,589.95 (-0.9%) | 3.7 | 0.9% | 4h | 6.1d ago · 99× | 32% ±8 | 55% ±9 | 6% ±4 | 40% ±9 | 121 | 7% ±2 | 32% ±8 | 53% ±14 | 65% ±20 | 2.4d | 1.47% | 1.25% | 861 → 21 | |
| 30D VAL | 76,402.29 (-1.2%) | 4.6 | 0.5% | 1h | 19.5d ago · 37× | 22% ±9 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 47% ±13 | 55 | 4% ±2 | 22% ±9 | 40% ±18 | 52% ±27 | 5.1d | 1.41% | 1.29% | 535 → 13 | |
| LVN zone | 73,070–74,442.12 (-3.7%) | 15 | 0.1% | 20m | 7.1d ago · 46× | 2% ±3 | 41% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±13 | 56 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 3% ±8 | 11% ±21 | > 7d | 1.21% | 1.22% | 324 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 64,249.24–64,445.25 (-16.6%) | 66 | 0.5% | 4h | 1.8d ago · 98× | 3% ±12 | 55% ±8 | 18% ±6 | 27% ±7 | 149 | 2% ±5 | 2% ±11 | 2% ±21 | 2% | > 7d | 1.42% | 0.94% | 41 → 1 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.